Bundesliga·Regular Season - 13·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
23%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.753.05safe0.33–2.260.90–2.601.22–4.87safer0.08–2.520.67–2.830.74–5.35
Shots on target
32%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.105.019.12safe2.24–5.973.27–6.765.51–12.72safer1.75–6.452.81–7.224.56–13.68
Total shots
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0613.3225.37safe8.13–15.989.76–16.8817.89–32.86safer7.04–17.078.80–17.8415.84–34.91
Shots in box
36%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction7.768.7316.49safe4.82–10.706.05–11.4110.87–22.12safer3.99–11.535.31–12.159.30–23.68
Blocked shots
36%
15%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.393.877.26safe1.51–5.282.21–5.523.73–10.80safer0.97–5.821.72–6.012.69–11.83
Corners
49%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.104.719.81safe2.89–7.322.71–6.715.60–14.03safer2.32–7.892.18–7.244.49–15.13
Possession %
19%
78%
homeawayprediction43.2057.35safe36.41–49.9950.56–64.13safer34.74–51.6648.89–65.80
Passes
14%
85%
homeawaytotalprediction395522917safe328–463455–588784–1051safer310–481438–606748–1087
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction62.9775.19safe58.94–67.0070.87–79.52safer57.65–68.2969.56–80.83
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2611.5222.78safe8.43–14.108.57–14.4617.00–28.56safer7.67–14.867.83–15.2115.50–30.07
Offsides
38%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.553.10safe0.38–2.710.46–2.650.84–5.35safer0.08–3.010.17–2.930.25–5.94
Yellow cards
42%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.071.984.05safe1.03–3.120.85–3.111.88–6.23safer0.76–3.390.56–3.401.32–6.79
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
47%
17%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.052.715.76safe1.61–4.491.15–4.262.76–8.75safer1.23–4.870.73–4.691.95–9.56
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 0.33–2.26 0.08–2.52 | 1.75 0.90–2.60 0.67–2.83 | 3.05 1.22–4.87 0.74–5.35 | 28% 23% 48% |
| Shots on target | 4.10 2.24–5.97 1.75–6.45 | 5.01 3.27–6.76 2.81–7.22 | 9.12 5.51–12.72 4.56–13.68 | 32% 55% |
| Total shots | 12.06 8.13–15.98 7.04–17.07 | 13.32 9.76–16.88 8.80–17.84 | 25.37 17.89–32.86 15.84–34.91 | 36% 56% |
| Shots in box | 7.76 4.82–10.70 3.99–11.53 | 8.73 6.05–11.41 5.31–12.15 | 16.49 10.87–22.12 9.30–23.68 | 36% 55% |
| Blocked shots | 3.39 1.51–5.28 0.97–5.82 | 3.87 2.21–5.52 1.72–6.01 | 7.26 3.73–10.80 2.69–11.83 | 36% 15% 49% |
| Corners | 5.10 2.89–7.32 2.32–7.89 | 4.71 2.71–6.71 2.18–7.24 | 9.81 5.60–14.03 4.49–15.13 | 49% 39% |
| Possession % | 43.20 36.41–49.99 34.74–51.66 | 57.35 50.56–64.13 48.89–65.80 | — | 19% 78% |
| Passes | 395 328–463 310–481 | 522 455–588 438–606 | 917 784–1051 748–1087 | 14% 85% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.97 58.94–67.00 57.65–68.29 | 75.19 70.87–79.52 69.56–80.83 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 11.26 8.43–14.10 7.67–14.86 | 11.52 8.57–14.46 7.83–15.21 | 22.78 17.00–28.56 15.50–30.07 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.54 0.38–2.71 0.08–3.01 | 1.55 0.46–2.65 0.17–2.93 | 3.10 0.84–5.35 0.25–5.94 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 2.07 1.03–3.12 0.76–3.39 | 1.98 0.85–3.11 0.56–3.40 | 4.05 1.88–6.23 1.32–6.79 | 42% 21% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.05 1.61–4.49 1.23–4.87 | 2.71 1.15–4.26 0.73–4.69 | 5.76 2.76–8.75 1.95–9.56 | 47% 17% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.