Bundesliga·Regular Season - 13·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
22%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.131.973.10safe0.17–2.101.11–2.821.28–4.92safer0.00–2.350.88–3.050.80–5.40
Shots on target
20%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction4.046.1610.20safe2.18–5.914.41–7.906.60–13.81safer1.69–6.403.95–8.375.64–14.76
Total shots
14%
82%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1016.3427.44safe7.18–15.0212.78–19.9019.95–34.93safer6.08–16.1211.82–20.8617.90–36.98
Shots in box
21%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction7.4510.2817.73safe4.51–10.407.60–12.9612.11–23.35safer3.68–11.226.86–13.6910.54–24.92
Blocked shots
24%
13%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.904.277.18safe1.02–4.782.62–5.933.64–10.71safer0.48–5.332.13–6.422.60–11.75
Corners
21%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction4.266.3510.62safe2.05–6.484.35–8.356.40–14.83safer1.48–7.053.82–8.895.30–15.94
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction37.0863.38safe30.29–43.8756.59–70.16safer28.62–45.5454.92–71.83
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction345583928safe278–412517–650795–1062safer260–430499–667759–1098
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction61.9177.84safe57.88–65.9473.52–82.16safer56.59–67.2372.21–83.47
Fouls
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9311.3425.28safe11.10–16.778.40–14.2919.49–31.06safer10.34–17.537.65–15.0417.99–32.56
Offsides
51%
22%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.413.40safe0.82–3.140.32–2.511.14–5.65safer0.52–3.440.03–2.790.55–6.24
Yellow cards
52%
19%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.561.934.49safe1.51–3.610.80–3.062.31–6.67safer1.24–3.870.51–3.351.75–7.22
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.110.25safe0.00–0.300.00–0.300.00–0.60safer0.00–0.450.00–0.430.00–0.88
GK saves
59%
14%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.922.836.75safe2.48–5.351.27–4.393.76–9.74safer2.09–5.740.85–4.812.94–10.55
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.13 0.17–2.10 0.00–2.35 | 1.97 1.11–2.82 0.88–3.05 | 3.10 1.28–4.92 0.80–5.40 | 22% 22% 57% |
| Shots on target | 4.04 2.18–5.91 1.69–6.40 | 6.16 4.41–7.90 3.95–8.37 | 10.20 6.60–13.81 5.64–14.76 | 20% 69% |
| Total shots | 11.10 7.18–15.02 6.08–16.12 | 16.34 12.78–19.90 11.82–20.86 | 27.44 19.95–34.93 17.90–36.98 | 14% 82% |
| Shots in box | 7.45 4.51–10.40 3.68–11.22 | 10.28 7.60–12.96 6.86–13.69 | 17.73 12.11–23.35 10.54–24.92 | 21% 71% |
| Blocked shots | 2.90 1.02–4.78 0.48–5.33 | 4.27 2.62–5.93 2.13–6.42 | 7.18 3.64–10.71 2.60–11.75 | 24% 13% 63% |
| Corners | 4.26 2.05–6.48 1.48–7.05 | 6.35 4.35–8.35 3.82–8.89 | 10.62 6.40–14.83 5.30–15.94 | 21% 69% |
| Possession % | 37.08 30.29–43.87 28.62–45.54 | 63.38 56.59–70.16 54.92–71.83 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 345 278–412 260–430 | 583 517–650 499–667 | 928 795–1062 759–1098 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.91 57.88–65.94 56.59–67.23 | 77.84 73.52–82.16 72.21–83.47 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 13.93 11.10–16.77 10.34–17.53 | 11.34 8.40–14.29 7.65–15.04 | 25.28 19.49–31.06 17.99–32.56 | 66% 27% |
| Offsides | 1.98 0.82–3.14 0.52–3.44 | 1.41 0.32–2.51 0.03–2.79 | 3.40 1.14–5.65 0.55–6.24 | 51% 22% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 2.56 1.51–3.61 1.24–3.87 | 1.93 0.80–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 4.49 2.31–6.67 1.75–7.22 | 52% 19% 29% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 3.92 2.48–5.35 2.09–5.74 | 2.83 1.27–4.39 0.85–4.81 | 6.75 3.76–9.74 2.94–10.55 | 59% 14% 27% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+