Bundesliga·Regular Season - 13·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
23%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.132.97safe0.87–2.810.27–1.981.15–4.79safer0.62–3.060.05–2.210.67–5.27
Shots on target
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.183.688.86safe3.32–7.041.94–5.425.26–12.47safer2.83–7.531.47–5.894.30–13.42
Total shots
74%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5510.8925.44safe10.63–18.487.32–14.4517.95–32.93safer9.54–19.576.37–15.4115.90–34.98
Shots in box
70%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction9.356.7116.06safe6.41–12.294.03–9.3910.44–21.68safer5.58–13.123.29–10.138.87–23.25
Blocked shots
53%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.582.906.48safe1.70–5.461.24–4.552.94–10.01safer1.16–6.010.75–5.041.91–11.05
Corners
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction6.004.5410.54safe3.78–8.212.54–6.546.33–14.75safer3.21–8.782.01–7.085.22–15.86
Possession %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction54.4645.54safe47.67–61.2538.75–52.32safer46.00–62.9237.08–53.99
Passes
79%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction488390877safe420–555323–456744–1011safer402–573306–474708–1047
Pass accuracy %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction68.4567.94safe64.42–72.4863.61–72.26safer63.13–73.7862.30–73.57
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3711.5821.95safe7.54–13.218.64–14.5316.17–27.74safer6.78–13.977.89–15.2814.67–29.24
Offsides
57%
18%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.731.824.55safe1.57–3.890.72–2.912.30–6.80safer1.27–4.190.44–3.201.71–7.39
Yellow cards
38%
21%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.903.74safe0.80–2.890.77–3.031.56–5.92safer0.53–3.160.48–3.321.01–6.48
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.130.21safe0.00–0.240.00–0.310.00–0.56safer0.00–0.390.00–0.450.00–0.84
GK saves
28%
16%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.563.496.05safe1.12–3.991.94–5.053.06–9.04safer0.73–4.381.51–5.472.24–9.85
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.84 0.87–2.81 0.62–3.06 | 1.13 0.27–1.98 0.05–2.21 | 2.97 1.15–4.79 0.67–5.27 | 54% 23% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.18 3.32–7.04 2.83–7.53 | 3.68 1.94–5.42 1.47–5.89 | 8.86 5.26–12.47 4.30–13.42 | 63% 25% |
| Total shots | 14.55 10.63–18.48 9.54–19.57 | 10.89 7.32–14.45 6.37–15.41 | 25.44 17.95–32.93 15.90–34.98 | 74% 20% |
| Shots in box | 9.35 6.41–12.29 5.58–13.12 | 6.71 4.03–9.39 3.29–10.13 | 16.06 10.44–21.68 8.87–23.25 | 70% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 3.58 1.70–5.46 1.16–6.01 | 2.90 1.24–4.55 0.75–5.04 | 6.48 2.94–10.01 1.91–11.05 | 53% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 6.00 3.78–8.21 3.21–8.78 | 4.54 2.54–6.54 2.01–7.08 | 10.54 6.33–14.75 5.22–15.86 | 61% 27% |
| Possession % | 54.46 47.67–61.25 46.00–62.92 | 45.54 38.75–52.32 37.08–53.99 | — | 68% 28% |
| Passes | 488 420–555 402–573 | 390 323–456 306–474 | 877 744–1011 708–1047 | 79% 21% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.45 64.42–72.48 63.13–73.78 | 67.94 63.61–72.26 62.30–73.57 | — | 50% 45% |
| Fouls | 10.37 7.54–13.21 6.78–13.97 | 11.58 8.64–14.53 7.89–15.28 | 21.95 16.17–27.74 14.67–29.24 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 2.73 1.57–3.89 1.27–4.19 | 1.82 0.72–2.91 0.44–3.20 | 4.55 2.30–6.80 1.71–7.39 | 57% 18% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.84 0.80–2.89 0.53–3.16 | 1.90 0.77–3.03 0.48–3.32 | 3.74 1.56–5.92 1.01–6.48 | 38% 21% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.56 1.12–3.99 0.73–4.38 | 3.49 1.94–5.05 1.51–5.47 | 6.05 3.06–9.04 2.24–9.85 | 28% 16% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+