Bundesliga·Regular Season - 14·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
26%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.530.962.49safe0.57–2.500.10–1.810.67–4.31safer0.32–2.750.00–2.040.19–4.79
Shots on target
62%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.813.428.23safe2.94–6.671.68–5.164.62–11.83safer2.46–7.161.21–5.633.67–12.79
Total shots
74%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5010.8225.32safe10.57–18.427.26–14.3817.83–32.80safer9.48–19.516.30–15.3415.78–34.85
Shots in box
78%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction9.916.3216.24safe6.97–12.863.64–9.0010.61–21.86safer6.14–13.692.90–9.749.05–23.43
Blocked shots
52%
15%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.863.207.06safe1.98–5.741.55–4.863.53–10.60safer1.43–6.291.06–5.352.49–11.63
Corners
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.033.899.92safe3.81–8.241.89–5.895.71–14.13safer3.24–8.811.36–6.434.60–15.24
Possession %
62%
33%
homeawayprediction53.4247.20safe46.63–60.2140.42–53.99safer44.96–61.8838.75–55.66
Passes
72%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction458388846safe391–525322–455713–980safer373–543304–472677–1016
Pass accuracy %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction66.3067.91safe62.27–70.3363.59–72.23safer60.98–71.6262.28–73.54
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7012.2223.93safe8.87–14.549.28–15.1718.15–29.71safer8.11–15.308.53–15.9216.64–31.21
Offsides
44%
24%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.443.13safe0.53–2.850.35–2.530.88–5.39safer0.23–3.150.06–2.820.29–5.98
Yellow cards
37%
20%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.022.154.17safe0.97–3.071.02–3.282.00–6.35safer0.70–3.340.73–3.571.44–6.91
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.110.22safe0.00–0.270.00–0.300.00–0.56safer0.00–0.420.00–0.430.00–0.85
GK saves
28%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.383.275.65safe0.94–3.821.72–4.832.66–8.65safer0.56–4.201.29–5.251.85–9.46
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.53 0.57–2.50 0.32–2.75 | 0.96 0.10–1.81 0.00–2.04 | 2.49 0.67–4.31 0.19–4.79 | 51% 26% 24% |
| Shots on target | 4.81 2.94–6.67 2.46–7.16 | 3.42 1.68–5.16 1.21–5.63 | 8.23 4.62–11.83 3.67–12.79 | 62% 25% |
| Total shots | 14.50 10.57–18.42 9.48–19.51 | 10.82 7.26–14.38 6.30–15.34 | 25.32 17.83–32.80 15.78–34.85 | 74% 20% |
| Shots in box | 9.91 6.97–12.86 6.14–13.69 | 6.32 3.64–9.00 2.90–9.74 | 16.24 10.61–21.86 9.05–23.43 | 78% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 3.86 1.98–5.74 1.43–6.29 | 3.20 1.55–4.86 1.06–5.35 | 7.06 3.53–10.60 2.49–11.63 | 52% 15% 33% |
| Corners | 6.03 3.81–8.24 3.24–8.81 | 3.89 1.89–5.89 1.36–6.43 | 9.92 5.71–14.13 4.60–15.24 | 70% 20% |
| Possession % | 53.42 46.63–60.21 44.96–61.88 | 47.20 40.42–53.99 38.75–55.66 | — | 62% 33% |
| Passes | 458 391–525 373–543 | 388 322–455 304–472 | 846 713–980 677–1016 | 72% 28% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.30 62.27–70.33 60.98–71.62 | 67.91 63.59–72.23 62.28–73.54 | — | 39% 56% |
| Fouls | 11.70 8.87–14.54 8.11–15.30 | 12.22 9.28–15.17 8.53–15.92 | 23.93 18.15–29.71 16.64–31.21 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.15 | 1.44 0.35–2.53 0.06–2.82 | 3.13 0.88–5.39 0.29–5.98 | 44% 24% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 2.02 0.97–3.07 0.70–3.34 | 2.15 1.02–3.28 0.73–3.57 | 4.17 2.00–6.35 1.44–6.91 | 37% 20% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.38 0.94–3.82 0.56–4.20 | 3.27 1.72–4.83 1.29–5.25 | 5.65 2.66–8.65 1.85–9.46 | 28% 16% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.