Bundesliga·Regular Season - 14·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
25%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.272.75safe0.51–2.450.41–2.120.93–4.57safer0.26–2.700.19–2.350.45–5.05
Shots on target
53%
13%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.924.159.07safe3.06–6.782.41–5.895.46–12.67safer2.57–7.271.94–6.364.51–13.63
Total shots
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2813.0627.34safe10.35–18.209.50–16.6319.85–34.83safer9.26–19.298.54–17.5917.80–36.88
Shots in box
60%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction9.297.7517.04safe6.35–12.235.07–10.4311.42–22.66safer5.52–13.064.33–11.179.85–24.23
Blocked shots
47%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.933.627.55safe2.05–5.821.97–5.274.02–11.09safer1.51–6.361.47–5.772.98–12.12
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.934.6610.59safe3.72–8.142.66–6.666.38–14.81safer3.14–8.722.13–7.205.27–15.91
Possession %
51%
45%
homeawayprediction50.5649.27safe43.77–57.3542.48–56.05safer42.10–59.0240.81–57.72
Passes
58%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction450426877safe383–518360–493743–1011safer365–536342–510707–1046
Pass accuracy %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction68.3670.44safe64.34–72.3966.11–74.76safer63.04–73.6964.80–76.07
Fouls
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8211.6022.42safe7.99–13.668.65–14.5416.64–28.20safer7.23–14.427.90–15.2915.13–29.71
Offsides
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.903.37safe0.32–2.640.80–2.991.12–5.63safer0.02–2.940.51–3.280.53–6.22
Yellow cards
28%
20%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.592.193.79safe0.54–2.641.06–3.321.61–5.96safer0.28–2.910.77–3.611.05–6.52
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
32%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.813.486.29safe1.37–4.251.92–5.043.30–9.28safer0.99–4.631.50–5.462.48–10.09
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.48 0.51–2.45 0.26–2.70 | 1.27 0.41–2.12 0.19–2.35 | 2.75 0.93–4.57 0.45–5.05 | 42% 25% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.92 3.06–6.78 2.57–7.27 | 4.15 2.41–5.89 1.94–6.36 | 9.07 5.46–12.67 4.51–13.63 | 53% 13% 34% |
| Total shots | 14.28 10.35–18.20 9.26–19.29 | 13.06 9.50–16.63 8.54–17.59 | 27.34 19.85–34.83 17.80–36.88 | 55% 37% |
| Shots in box | 9.29 6.35–12.23 5.52–13.06 | 7.75 5.07–10.43 4.33–11.17 | 17.04 11.42–22.66 9.85–24.23 | 60% 31% |
| Blocked shots | 3.93 2.05–5.82 1.51–6.36 | 3.62 1.97–5.27 1.47–5.77 | 7.55 4.02–11.09 2.98–12.12 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Corners | 5.93 3.72–8.14 3.14–8.72 | 4.66 2.66–6.66 2.13–7.20 | 10.59 6.38–14.81 5.27–15.91 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 50.56 43.77–57.35 42.10–59.02 | 49.27 42.48–56.05 40.81–57.72 | — | 51% 45% |
| Passes | 450 383–518 365–536 | 426 360–493 342–510 | 877 743–1011 707–1046 | 58% 42% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.36 64.34–72.39 63.04–73.69 | 70.44 66.11–74.76 64.80–76.07 | — | 37% 58% |
| Fouls | 10.82 7.99–13.66 7.23–14.42 | 11.60 8.65–14.54 7.90–15.29 | 22.42 16.64–28.20 15.13–29.71 | 39% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.48 0.32–2.64 0.02–2.94 | 1.90 0.80–2.99 0.51–3.28 | 3.37 1.12–5.63 0.53–6.22 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.54–2.64 0.28–2.91 | 2.19 1.06–3.32 0.77–3.61 | 3.79 1.61–5.96 1.05–6.52 | 28% 20% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.81 1.37–4.25 0.99–4.63 | 3.48 1.92–5.04 1.50–5.46 | 6.29 3.30–9.28 2.48–10.09 | 32% 16% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.