Bundesliga·Regular Season - 14·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
25%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.312.90safe0.62–2.560.45–2.161.08–4.72safer0.37–2.810.23–2.390.60–5.20
Shots on target
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.184.099.27safe3.32–7.052.35–5.835.67–12.88safer2.83–7.541.88–6.304.71–13.84
Total shots
74%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction15.7311.9227.66safe11.81–19.668.36–15.4920.17–35.15safer10.72–20.757.40–16.4518.12–37.20
Shots in box
71%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction10.287.4117.69safe7.34–13.234.73–10.0912.07–23.32safer6.51–14.053.99–10.8310.50–24.88
Blocked shots
52%
14%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.203.547.74safe2.32–6.081.89–5.194.21–11.28safer1.78–6.631.39–5.683.17–12.31
Corners
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction6.094.5510.64safe3.88–8.312.55–6.556.43–14.86safer3.30–8.882.02–7.095.32–15.97
Possession %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction52.3648.62safe45.57–59.1541.83–55.40safer43.90–60.8240.16–57.07
Passes
61%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction440407846safe372–507340–473713–980safer354–525323–491677–1016
Pass accuracy %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction67.8067.44safe63.78–71.8363.12–71.77safer62.48–73.1361.81–73.07
Fouls
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3710.7223.10safe9.53–15.217.78–13.6717.31–28.88safer8.78–15.977.03–14.4215.81–30.38
Offsides
46%
20%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.191.864.05safe1.03–3.350.76–2.951.80–6.30safer0.73–3.660.47–3.241.21–6.89
Yellow cards
37%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.092.264.35safe1.04–3.141.13–3.392.17–6.53safer0.77–3.410.84–3.681.62–7.09
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.130.22safe0.00–0.250.00–0.320.00–0.56safer0.00–0.400.00–0.450.00–0.85
GK saves
31%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.733.446.17safe1.30–4.171.88–4.993.18–9.16safer0.91–4.561.46–5.422.37–9.98
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.59 0.62–2.56 0.37–2.81 | 1.31 0.45–2.16 0.23–2.39 | 2.90 1.08–4.72 0.60–5.20 | 44% 25% 31% |
| Shots on target | 5.18 3.32–7.05 2.83–7.54 | 4.09 2.35–5.83 1.88–6.30 | 9.27 5.67–12.88 4.71–13.84 | 58% 30% |
| Total shots | 15.73 11.81–19.66 10.72–20.75 | 11.92 8.36–15.49 7.40–16.45 | 27.66 20.17–35.15 18.12–37.20 | 74% 21% |
| Shots in box | 10.28 7.34–13.23 6.51–14.05 | 7.41 4.73–10.09 3.99–10.83 | 17.69 12.07–23.32 10.50–24.88 | 71% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 4.20 2.32–6.08 1.78–6.63 | 3.54 1.89–5.19 1.39–5.68 | 7.74 4.21–11.28 3.17–12.31 | 52% 14% 34% |
| Corners | 6.09 3.88–8.31 3.30–8.88 | 4.55 2.55–6.55 2.02–7.09 | 10.64 6.43–14.86 5.32–15.97 | 62% 26% |
| Possession % | 52.36 45.57–59.15 43.90–60.82 | 48.62 41.83–55.40 40.16–57.07 | — | 56% 39% |
| Passes | 440 372–507 354–525 | 407 340–473 323–491 | 846 713–980 677–1016 | 61% 39% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.80 63.78–71.83 62.48–73.13 | 67.44 63.12–71.77 61.81–73.07 | — | 49% 46% |
| Fouls | 12.37 9.53–15.21 8.78–15.97 | 10.72 7.78–13.67 7.03–14.42 | 23.10 17.31–28.88 15.81–30.38 | 59% 33% |
| Offsides | 2.19 1.03–3.35 0.73–3.66 | 1.86 0.76–2.95 0.47–3.24 | 4.05 1.80–6.30 1.21–6.89 | 46% 20% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 2.09 1.04–3.14 0.77–3.41 | 2.26 1.13–3.39 0.84–3.68 | 4.35 2.17–6.53 1.62–7.09 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.73 1.30–4.17 0.91–4.56 | 3.44 1.88–4.99 1.46–5.42 | 6.17 3.18–9.16 2.37–9.98 | 31% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.