Bundesliga·Regular Season - 15·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
24%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.172.81safe0.67–2.610.32–2.030.99–4.63safer0.42–2.860.09–2.250.51–5.11
Shots on target
54%
13%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.924.109.02safe3.05–6.782.36–5.845.41–12.62safer2.56–7.271.89–6.314.46–13.58
Total shots
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6712.6827.35safe10.75–18.609.12–16.2419.87–34.84safer9.66–19.698.16–17.2017.82–36.89
Shots in box
63%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction10.008.1118.11safe7.06–12.945.43–10.7912.48–23.73safer6.23–13.774.69–11.5310.92–25.30
Blocked shots
51%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.813.267.07safe1.93–5.691.61–4.913.53–10.61safer1.38–6.231.12–5.412.50–11.64
Corners
52%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.544.8310.37safe3.33–7.762.83–6.836.16–14.59safer2.75–8.332.30–7.375.05–15.70
Possession %
55%
41%
homeawayprediction51.4548.39safe44.66–58.2441.61–55.18safer42.99–59.9139.94–56.85
Passes
59%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction420391811safe353–487324–457677–944safer334–505307–475641–980
Pass accuracy %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction65.6667.55safe61.63–69.6963.22–71.87safer60.34–70.9861.91–73.18
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0612.3024.37safe9.23–14.909.36–15.2518.58–30.15safer8.47–15.668.61–15.9917.08–31.65
Offsides
61%
18%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.611.544.15safe1.45–3.770.45–2.631.89–6.40safer1.15–4.070.16–2.921.30–6.99
Yellow cards
39%
21%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.943.86safe0.87–2.970.81–3.071.68–6.04safer0.60–3.230.52–3.361.12–6.59
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.130.23safe0.00–0.260.00–0.320.00–0.58safer0.00–0.410.00–0.450.00–0.86
GK saves
33%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.843.396.23safe1.40–4.271.83–4.943.23–9.22safer1.01–4.661.41–5.372.42–10.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.64 0.67–2.61 0.42–2.86 | 1.17 0.32–2.03 0.09–2.25 | 2.81 0.99–4.63 0.51–5.11 | 48% 24% 27% |
| Shots on target | 4.92 3.05–6.78 2.56–7.27 | 4.10 2.36–5.84 1.89–6.31 | 9.02 5.41–12.62 4.46–13.58 | 54% 13% 33% |
| Total shots | 14.67 10.75–18.60 9.66–19.69 | 12.68 9.12–16.24 8.16–17.20 | 27.35 19.87–34.84 17.82–36.89 | 61% 32% |
| Shots in box | 10.00 7.06–12.94 6.23–13.77 | 8.11 5.43–10.79 4.69–11.53 | 18.11 12.48–23.73 10.92–25.30 | 63% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 3.81 1.93–5.69 1.38–6.23 | 3.26 1.61–4.91 1.12–5.41 | 7.07 3.53–10.61 2.50–11.64 | 51% 15% 34% |
| Corners | 5.54 3.33–7.76 2.75–8.33 | 4.83 2.83–6.83 2.30–7.37 | 10.37 6.16–14.59 5.05–15.70 | 52% 35% |
| Possession % | 51.45 44.66–58.24 42.99–59.91 | 48.39 41.61–55.18 39.94–56.85 | — | 55% 41% |
| Passes | 420 353–487 334–505 | 391 324–457 307–475 | 811 677–944 641–980 | 59% 40% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.66 61.63–69.69 60.34–70.98 | 67.55 63.22–71.87 61.91–73.18 | — | 38% 57% |
| Fouls | 12.06 9.23–14.90 8.47–15.66 | 12.30 9.36–15.25 8.61–15.99 | 24.37 18.58–30.15 17.08–31.65 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 2.61 1.45–3.77 1.15–4.07 | 1.54 0.45–2.63 0.16–2.92 | 4.15 1.89–6.40 1.30–6.99 | 61% 18% 21% |
| Yellow cards | 1.92 0.87–2.97 0.60–3.23 | 1.94 0.81–3.07 0.52–3.36 | 3.86 1.68–6.04 1.12–6.59 | 39% 21% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.84 1.40–4.27 1.01–4.66 | 3.39 1.83–4.94 1.41–5.37 | 6.23 3.23–9.22 2.42–10.03 | 33% 16% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.