Bundesliga·Regular Season - 16·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
66%
20%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.130.893.02safe1.16–3.090.04–1.751.20–4.84safer0.91–3.350.00–1.980.72–5.32
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.122.919.03safe4.25–7.981.17–4.665.43–12.64safer3.76–8.470.71–5.124.47–13.59
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction16.978.7725.74safe13.05–20.905.21–12.3318.25–33.23safer11.96–21.994.25–13.2916.20–35.28
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction10.805.6916.49safe7.86–13.743.01–8.3710.87–22.12safer7.03–14.572.28–9.119.30–23.68
Blocked shots
72%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.422.406.82safe2.54–6.300.75–4.053.28–10.35safer1.99–6.850.25–4.542.25–11.39
Corners
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.303.429.72safe4.09–8.511.42–5.425.51–13.93safer3.51–9.090.88–5.954.40–15.04
Possession %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction58.4341.29safe51.64–65.2234.51–48.08safer49.97–66.8932.84–49.75
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction552367918safe484–619300–433785–1052safer466–637283–451749–1088
Pass accuracy %
78%
18%
homeawayprediction74.7768.25safe70.74–78.8063.93–72.58safer69.45–80.0962.62–73.88
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3311.9622.29safe7.49–13.179.01–14.9016.51–28.07safer6.74–13.928.27–15.6515.00–29.58
Offsides
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.993.63safe0.48–2.800.90–3.081.38–5.89safer0.18–3.100.61–3.370.79–6.48
Yellow cards
21%
19%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.302.303.60safe0.25–2.351.17–3.431.43–5.78safer0.00–2.620.88–3.720.87–6.34
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.120.18safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.370.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
18%
14%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.073.685.75safe0.63–3.502.12–5.242.75–8.74safer0.24–3.891.70–5.661.94–9.55
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.13 1.16–3.09 0.91–3.35 | 0.89 0.04–1.75 0.00–1.98 | 3.02 1.20–4.84 0.72–5.32 | 66% 20% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.12 4.25–7.98 3.76–8.47 | 2.91 1.17–4.66 0.71–5.12 | 9.03 5.43–12.64 4.47–13.59 | 82% |
| Total shots | 16.97 13.05–20.90 11.96–21.99 | 8.77 5.21–12.33 4.25–13.29 | 25.74 18.25–33.23 16.20–35.28 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 10.80 7.86–13.74 7.03–14.57 | 5.69 3.01–8.37 2.28–9.11 | 16.49 10.87–22.12 9.30–23.68 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 4.42 2.54–6.30 1.99–6.85 | 2.40 0.75–4.05 0.25–4.54 | 6.82 3.28–10.35 2.25–11.39 | 72% 16% |
| Corners | 6.30 4.09–8.51 3.51–9.09 | 3.42 1.42–5.42 0.88–5.95 | 9.72 5.51–13.93 4.40–15.04 | 78% 14% |
| Possession % | 58.43 51.64–65.22 49.97–66.89 | 41.29 34.51–48.08 32.84–49.75 | — | 83% 14% |
| Passes | 552 484–619 466–637 | 367 300–433 283–451 | 918 785–1052 749–1088 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.77 70.74–78.80 69.45–80.09 | 68.25 63.93–72.58 62.62–73.88 | — | 78% 18% |
| Fouls | 10.33 7.49–13.17 6.74–13.92 | 11.96 9.01–14.90 8.27–15.65 | 22.29 16.51–28.07 15.00–29.58 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.10 | 1.99 0.90–3.08 0.61–3.37 | 3.63 1.38–5.89 0.79–6.48 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.30 0.25–2.35 0.00–2.62 | 2.30 1.17–3.43 0.88–3.72 | 3.60 1.43–5.78 0.87–6.34 | 21% 19% 60% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.07 0.63–3.50 0.24–3.89 | 3.68 2.12–5.24 1.70–5.66 | 5.75 2.75–8.74 1.94–9.55 | 18% 14% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.