Bundesliga·Regular Season - 16·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
20%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.090.923.00safe1.12–3.060.06–1.771.18–4.83safer0.87–3.310.00–2.000.70–5.31
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.213.299.51safe4.35–8.081.55–5.045.90–13.11safer3.86–8.561.09–5.504.95–14.07
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction19.9110.2030.10safe15.98–23.836.63–13.7622.62–37.59safer14.89–24.925.68–14.7220.56–39.64
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction12.206.2018.41safe9.26–15.153.52–8.8812.78–24.03safer8.43–15.982.79–9.6211.22–25.60
Blocked shots
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.973.128.09safe3.09–6.851.46–4.774.55–11.62safer2.54–7.390.97–5.263.52–12.66
Corners
82%
homeawaytotalprediction7.243.7611.00safe5.03–9.461.76–5.766.79–15.21safer4.45–10.031.23–6.295.68–16.32
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.7337.39safe55.94–69.5230.61–44.18safer54.27–71.1928.94–45.85
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction584328912safe517–651262–395779–1046safer499–670244–412743–1082
Pass accuracy %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction73.4266.47safe69.39–77.4562.15–70.79safer68.10–78.7460.84–72.10
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8512.4023.25safe8.01–13.699.46–15.3517.47–29.04safer7.26–14.448.71–16.1015.97–30.54
Offsides
45%
24%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.333.00safe0.51–2.830.24–2.430.75–5.26safer0.21–3.130.00–2.710.16–5.85
Yellow cards
28%
22%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.482.013.49safe0.43–2.530.88–3.141.31–5.67safer0.16–2.790.59–3.430.75–6.22
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
15%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.154.206.35safe0.71–3.582.65–5.763.36–9.34safer0.32–3.972.22–6.182.55–10.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.09 1.12–3.06 0.87–3.31 | 0.92 0.06–1.77 0.00–2.00 | 3.00 1.18–4.83 0.70–5.31 | 64% 20% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.21 4.35–8.08 3.86–8.56 | 3.29 1.55–5.04 1.09–5.50 | 9.51 5.90–13.11 4.95–14.07 | 79% |
| Total shots | 19.91 15.98–23.83 14.89–24.92 | 10.20 6.63–13.76 5.68–14.72 | 30.10 22.62–37.59 20.56–39.64 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 12.20 9.26–15.15 8.43–15.98 | 6.20 3.52–8.88 2.79–9.62 | 18.41 12.78–24.03 11.22–25.60 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 4.97 3.09–6.85 2.54–7.39 | 3.12 1.46–4.77 0.97–5.26 | 8.09 4.55–11.62 3.52–12.66 | 68% 20% |
| Corners | 7.24 5.03–9.46 4.45–10.03 | 3.76 1.76–5.76 1.23–6.29 | 11.00 6.79–15.21 5.68–16.32 | 82% |
| Possession % | 62.73 55.94–69.52 54.27–71.19 | 37.39 30.61–44.18 28.94–45.85 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 584 517–651 499–670 | 328 262–395 244–412 | 912 779–1046 743–1082 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.42 69.39–77.45 68.10–78.74 | 66.47 62.15–70.79 60.84–72.10 | — | 80% 17% |
| Fouls | 10.85 8.01–13.69 7.26–14.44 | 12.40 9.46–15.35 8.71–16.10 | 23.25 17.47–29.04 15.97–30.54 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.21–3.13 | 1.33 0.24–2.43 0.00–2.71 | 3.00 0.75–5.26 0.16–5.85 | 45% 24% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.48 0.43–2.53 0.16–2.79 | 2.01 0.88–3.14 0.59–3.43 | 3.49 1.31–5.67 0.75–6.22 | 28% 22% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.15 0.71–3.58 0.32–3.97 | 4.20 2.65–5.76 2.22–6.18 | 6.35 3.36–9.34 2.55–10.15 | 15% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+