Bundesliga·Regular Season - 16·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.590.943.53safe1.63–3.560.08–1.791.71–5.35safer1.37–3.810.00–2.021.23–5.83
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction7.093.7410.83safe5.23–8.952.00–5.487.22–14.43safer4.74–9.441.53–5.956.27–15.39
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction20.2110.0330.25safe16.29–24.146.47–13.6022.76–37.73safer15.20–25.235.51–14.5520.71–39.79
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction12.476.7019.16safe9.53–15.414.02–9.3813.54–24.79safer8.70–16.243.28–10.1211.97–26.35
Blocked shots
77%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction5.682.988.67safe3.80–7.571.33–4.645.13–12.20safer3.26–8.110.84–5.134.10–13.24
Corners
85%
homeawaytotalprediction7.543.5911.13safe5.32–9.751.59–5.596.92–15.34safer4.75–10.321.06–6.135.81–16.45
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction61.5438.19safe54.75–68.3331.41–44.98safer53.08–70.0029.74–46.65
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction612387999safe545–680320–453865–1133safer527–698303–471830–1168
Pass accuracy %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction77.1169.42safe73.08–81.1465.09–73.74safer71.79–82.4363.79–75.05
Fouls
28%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9412.1322.07safe7.10–12.779.19–15.0816.29–27.85safer6.34–13.538.44–15.8314.78–29.35
Offsides
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.733.67safe0.78–3.100.64–2.831.42–5.93safer0.48–3.400.35–3.120.83–6.52
Yellow cards
29%
20%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.682.233.91safe0.63–2.731.10–3.361.73–6.09safer0.36–3.000.81–3.651.18–6.65
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
19%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.594.326.90safe1.15–4.022.76–5.873.91–9.90safer0.76–4.412.34–6.303.10–10.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.59 1.63–3.56 1.37–3.81 | 0.94 0.08–1.79 0.00–2.02 | 3.53 1.71–5.35 1.23–5.83 | 73% 16% |
| Shots on target | 7.09 5.23–8.95 4.74–9.44 | 3.74 2.00–5.48 1.53–5.95 | 10.83 7.22–14.43 6.27–15.39 | 81% |
| Total shots | 20.21 16.29–24.14 15.20–25.23 | 10.03 6.47–13.60 5.51–14.55 | 30.25 22.76–37.73 20.71–39.79 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 12.47 9.53–15.41 8.70–16.24 | 6.70 4.02–9.38 3.28–10.12 | 19.16 13.54–24.79 11.97–26.35 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 5.68 3.80–7.57 3.26–8.11 | 2.98 1.33–4.64 0.84–5.13 | 8.67 5.13–12.20 4.10–13.24 | 77% 13% |
| Corners | 7.54 5.32–9.75 4.75–10.32 | 3.59 1.59–5.59 1.06–6.13 | 11.13 6.92–15.34 5.81–16.45 | 85% |
| Possession % | 61.54 54.75–68.33 53.08–70.00 | 38.19 31.41–44.98 29.74–46.65 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 612 545–680 527–698 | 387 320–453 303–471 | 999 865–1133 830–1168 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.11 73.08–81.14 71.79–82.43 | 69.42 65.09–73.74 63.79–75.05 | — | 82% 15% |
| Fouls | 9.94 7.10–12.77 6.34–13.53 | 12.13 9.19–15.08 8.44–15.83 | 22.07 16.29–27.85 14.78–29.35 | 28% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.94 0.78–3.10 0.48–3.40 | 1.73 0.64–2.83 0.35–3.12 | 3.67 1.42–5.93 0.83–6.52 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.63–2.73 0.36–3.00 | 2.23 1.10–3.36 0.81–3.65 | 3.91 1.73–6.09 1.18–6.65 | 29% 20% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.59 1.15–4.02 0.76–4.41 | 4.32 2.76–5.87 2.34–6.30 | 6.90 3.91–9.90 3.10–10.71 | 19% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.