Bundesliga·Regular Season - 16·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
26%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.302.72safe0.45–2.380.45–2.160.90–4.54safer0.20–2.630.22–2.390.42–5.02
Shots on target
49%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.403.998.39safe2.54–6.272.24–5.734.79–12.00safer2.05–6.761.78–6.193.83–12.95
Total shots
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1611.3024.46safe9.23–17.087.74–14.8716.97–31.95safer8.14–18.176.78–15.8314.92–34.00
Shots in box
51%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction8.077.5215.59safe5.13–11.014.83–10.209.96–21.21safer4.30–11.844.10–10.938.40–22.78
Blocked shots
56%
15%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.852.916.76safe1.96–5.731.26–4.563.22–10.29safer1.42–6.270.76–5.052.18–11.33
Corners
50%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.494.9910.49safe3.28–7.712.99–6.996.27–14.70safer2.71–8.282.46–7.525.17–15.81
Possession %
53%
43%
homeawayprediction51.5049.33safe44.71–58.2942.54–56.11safer43.04–59.9640.87–57.78
Passes
59%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction446418864safe379–514352–484731–998safer361–532334–502695–1034
Pass accuracy %
33%
63%
homeawayprediction67.7570.74safe63.72–71.7866.41–75.06safer62.43–73.0765.10–76.37
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1010.9822.08safe8.27–13.948.03–13.9216.30–27.86safer7.51–14.707.28–14.6714.79–29.37
Offsides
27%
20%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.532.213.74safe0.37–2.701.11–3.301.49–5.99safer0.07–3.000.82–3.590.90–6.58
Yellow cards
41%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.883.86safe0.93–3.030.75–3.011.68–6.03safer0.66–3.290.46–3.301.12–6.59
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
33%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.503.045.53safe1.06–3.931.48–4.592.54–8.53safer0.67–4.321.06–5.021.73–9.34
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.41 0.45–2.38 0.20–2.63 | 1.30 0.45–2.16 0.22–2.39 | 2.72 0.90–4.54 0.42–5.02 | 40% 26% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.40 2.54–6.27 2.05–6.76 | 3.99 2.24–5.73 1.78–6.19 | 8.39 4.79–12.00 3.83–12.95 | 49% 14% 37% |
| Total shots | 13.16 9.23–17.08 8.14–18.17 | 11.30 7.74–14.87 6.78–15.83 | 24.46 16.97–31.95 14.92–34.00 | 61% 32% |
| Shots in box | 8.07 5.13–11.01 4.30–11.84 | 7.52 4.83–10.20 4.10–10.93 | 15.59 9.96–21.21 8.40–22.78 | 51% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 3.85 1.96–5.73 1.42–6.27 | 2.91 1.26–4.56 0.76–5.05 | 6.76 3.22–10.29 2.18–11.33 | 56% 15% 29% |
| Corners | 5.49 3.28–7.71 2.71–8.28 | 4.99 2.99–6.99 2.46–7.52 | 10.49 6.27–14.70 5.17–15.81 | 50% 38% |
| Possession % | 51.50 44.71–58.29 43.04–59.96 | 49.33 42.54–56.11 40.87–57.78 | — | 53% 43% |
| Passes | 446 379–514 361–532 | 418 352–484 334–502 | 864 731–998 695–1034 | 59% 40% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.75 63.72–71.78 62.43–73.07 | 70.74 66.41–75.06 65.10–76.37 | — | 33% 63% |
| Fouls | 11.10 8.27–13.94 7.51–14.70 | 10.98 8.03–13.92 7.28–14.67 | 22.08 16.30–27.86 14.79–29.37 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.53 0.37–2.70 0.07–3.00 | 2.21 1.11–3.30 0.82–3.59 | 3.74 1.49–5.99 0.90–6.58 | 27% 20% 53% |
| Yellow cards | 1.98 0.93–3.03 0.66–3.29 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.86 1.68–6.03 1.12–6.59 | 41% 21% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.50 1.06–3.93 0.67–4.32 | 3.04 1.48–4.59 1.06–5.02 | 5.53 2.54–8.53 1.73–9.34 | 33% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.