Bundesliga·Regular Season - 19·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
26%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.161.432.59safe0.19–2.130.58–2.290.77–4.41safer0.00–2.380.35–2.510.29–4.89
Shots on target
34%
13%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.134.899.02safe2.27–6.003.14–6.635.42–12.63safer1.78–6.492.68–7.104.46–13.58
Total shots
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9414.4928.43safe10.02–17.8710.92–18.0520.94–35.92safer8.93–18.969.97–19.0118.89–37.97
Shots in box
32%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction7.829.2217.04safe4.88–10.766.53–11.9011.41–22.66safer4.05–11.595.80–12.639.85–24.23
Blocked shots
40%
15%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.373.516.88safe1.49–5.261.85–5.163.34–10.41safer0.95–5.801.36–5.652.31–11.45
Corners
33%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.755.6610.41safe2.53–6.963.66–7.666.20–14.62safer1.96–7.543.13–8.205.09–15.73
Possession %
32%
64%
homeawayprediction46.2753.37safe39.48–53.0646.58–60.15safer37.81–54.7344.91–61.82
Passes
35%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction362408771safe295–429342–475637–904safer277–448324–492601–940
Pass accuracy %
16%
80%
homeawayprediction63.5070.57safe59.47–67.5366.25–74.90safer58.18–68.8264.94–76.21
Fouls
28%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8913.2024.09safe8.05–13.7310.25–16.1418.31–29.87safer7.30–14.499.50–16.8916.80–31.38
Offsides
19%
16%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction1.582.934.51safe0.42–2.741.83–4.022.25–6.76safer0.12–3.041.55–4.311.66–7.35
Yellow cards
37%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.922.053.97safe0.87–2.970.92–3.181.79–6.15safer0.60–3.240.63–3.471.24–6.71
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.120.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.56safer0.00–0.410.00–0.440.00–0.84
GK saves
51%
16%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.482.926.40safe2.04–4.911.36–4.473.40–9.39safer1.65–5.300.94–4.902.59–10.20
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.16 0.19–2.13 0.00–2.38 | 1.43 0.58–2.29 0.35–2.51 | 2.59 0.77–4.41 0.29–4.89 | 31% 26% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.13 2.27–6.00 1.78–6.49 | 4.89 3.14–6.63 2.68–7.10 | 9.02 5.42–12.63 4.46–13.58 | 34% 13% 53% |
| Total shots | 13.94 10.02–17.87 8.93–18.96 | 14.49 10.92–18.05 9.97–19.01 | 28.43 20.94–35.92 18.89–37.97 | 42% 50% |
| Shots in box | 7.82 4.88–10.76 4.05–11.59 | 9.22 6.53–11.90 5.80–12.63 | 17.04 11.41–22.66 9.85–24.23 | 32% 59% |
| Blocked shots | 3.37 1.49–5.26 0.95–5.80 | 3.51 1.85–5.16 1.36–5.65 | 6.88 3.34–10.41 2.31–11.45 | 40% 15% 44% |
| Corners | 4.75 2.53–6.96 1.96–7.54 | 5.66 3.66–7.66 3.13–8.20 | 10.41 6.20–14.62 5.09–15.73 | 33% 55% |
| Possession % | 46.27 39.48–53.06 37.81–54.73 | 53.37 46.58–60.15 44.91–61.82 | — | 32% 64% |
| Passes | 362 295–429 277–448 | 408 342–475 324–492 | 771 637–904 601–940 | 35% 65% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.50 59.47–67.53 58.18–68.82 | 70.57 66.25–74.90 64.94–76.21 | — | 16% 80% |
| Fouls | 10.89 8.05–13.73 7.30–14.49 | 13.20 10.25–16.14 9.50–16.89 | 24.09 18.31–29.87 16.80–31.38 | 28% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.74 0.12–3.04 | 2.93 1.83–4.02 1.55–4.31 | 4.51 2.25–6.76 1.66–7.35 | 19% 16% 65% |
| Yellow cards | 1.92 0.87–2.97 0.60–3.24 | 2.05 0.92–3.18 0.63–3.47 | 3.97 1.79–6.15 1.24–6.71 | 37% 21% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.48 2.04–4.91 1.65–5.30 | 2.92 1.36–4.47 0.94–4.90 | 6.40 3.40–9.39 2.59–10.20 | 51% 16% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.