Bundesliga·Regular Season - 19·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.903.16safe0.30–2.231.04–2.751.34–4.99safer0.04–2.480.82–2.980.86–5.47
Shots on target
26%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction4.015.509.52safe2.15–5.883.76–7.255.91–13.12safer1.66–6.363.29–7.714.95–14.08
Total shots
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4014.6927.09safe8.48–16.3311.13–18.2519.60–34.58safer7.39–17.4210.17–19.2117.55–36.63
Shots in box
23%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction7.199.7116.90safe4.25–10.147.03–12.3911.28–22.52safer3.42–10.976.29–13.129.71–24.09
Blocked shots
28%
14%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction3.214.327.52safe1.32–5.092.66–5.973.99–11.06safer0.78–5.632.17–6.462.95–12.09
Corners
32%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.835.8010.63safe2.62–7.043.80–7.806.42–14.84safer2.04–7.623.27–8.335.31–15.95
Possession %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction42.8358.78safe36.04–49.6252.00–65.57safer34.37–51.2950.33–67.24
Passes
13%
87%
homeawaytotalprediction383516899safe316–450449–582765–1032safer298–468432–600729–1068
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction66.2176.01safe62.18–70.2471.68–80.33safer60.89–71.5370.37–81.64
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4911.3522.84safe8.65–14.338.41–14.3017.06–28.62safer7.89–15.087.66–15.0515.56–30.13
Offsides
42%
25%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.352.92safe0.41–2.730.26–2.450.67–5.18safer0.11–3.030.00–2.740.08–5.76
Yellow cards
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.853.52safe0.62–2.710.72–2.981.34–5.70safer0.35–2.980.43–3.270.78–6.25
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
59%
15%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.662.596.25safe2.22–5.091.04–4.153.26–9.24safer1.83–5.480.61–4.572.45–10.06
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.30–2.23 0.04–2.48 | 1.90 1.04–2.75 0.82–2.98 | 3.16 1.34–4.99 0.86–5.47 | 25% 22% 52% |
| Shots on target | 4.01 2.15–5.88 1.66–6.36 | 5.50 3.76–7.25 3.29–7.71 | 9.52 5.91–13.12 4.95–14.08 | 26% 62% |
| Total shots | 12.40 8.48–16.33 7.39–17.42 | 14.69 11.13–18.25 10.17–19.21 | 27.09 19.60–34.58 17.55–36.63 | 30% 63% |
| Shots in box | 7.19 4.25–10.14 3.42–10.97 | 9.71 7.03–12.39 6.29–13.12 | 16.90 11.28–22.52 9.71–24.09 | 23% 69% |
| Blocked shots | 3.21 1.32–5.09 0.78–5.63 | 4.32 2.66–5.97 2.17–6.46 | 7.52 3.99–11.06 2.95–12.09 | 28% 14% 59% |
| Corners | 4.83 2.62–7.04 2.04–7.62 | 5.80 3.80–7.80 3.27–8.33 | 10.63 6.42–14.84 5.31–15.95 | 32% 56% |
| Possession % | 42.83 36.04–49.62 34.37–51.29 | 58.78 52.00–65.57 50.33–67.24 | — | 16% 81% |
| Passes | 383 316–450 298–468 | 516 449–582 432–600 | 899 765–1032 729–1068 | 13% 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.21 62.18–70.24 60.89–71.53 | 76.01 71.68–80.33 70.37–81.64 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 11.49 8.65–14.33 7.89–15.08 | 11.35 8.41–14.30 7.66–15.05 | 22.84 17.06–28.62 15.56–30.13 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.57 0.41–2.73 0.11–3.03 | 1.35 0.26–2.45 0.00–2.74 | 2.92 0.67–5.18 0.08–5.76 | 42% 25% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.71 0.35–2.98 | 1.85 0.72–2.98 0.43–3.27 | 3.52 1.34–5.70 0.78–6.25 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.66 2.22–5.09 1.83–5.48 | 2.59 1.04–4.15 0.61–4.57 | 6.25 3.26–9.24 2.45–10.06 | 59% 15% 26% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.