Bundesliga·Regular Season - 19·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
70%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.390.903.29safe1.42–3.360.05–1.761.47–5.11safer1.17–3.610.00–1.980.99–5.59
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.763.169.93safe4.90–8.631.42–4.906.32–13.53safer4.41–9.120.95–5.375.37–14.49
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction19.489.3628.84safe15.56–23.415.80–12.9321.36–36.33safer14.47–24.504.84–13.8819.31–38.38
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction13.675.6219.29safe10.73–16.612.94–8.3013.67–24.91safer9.90–17.442.20–9.0412.10–26.48
Blocked shots
78%
homeawaytotalprediction5.432.718.14safe3.55–7.311.06–4.364.60–11.67safer3.00–7.850.56–4.853.57–12.71
Corners
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.433.3310.75safe5.21–9.641.33–5.336.54–14.97safer4.64–10.210.80–5.865.43–16.08
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction60.8038.92safe54.01–67.5932.14–45.71safer52.34–69.2630.47–47.38
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction537328865safe470–604262–394731–999safer452–622244–412696–1034
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction75.6966.33safe71.66–79.7262.00–70.65safer70.37–81.0160.69–71.96
Fouls
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2212.0123.23safe8.38–14.069.07–14.9617.45–29.01safer7.62–14.818.32–15.7115.95–30.52
Offsides
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.823.50safe0.52–2.840.72–2.911.24–5.75safer0.22–3.140.44–3.200.65–6.34
Yellow cards
23%
21%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.312.103.41safe0.26–2.360.97–3.231.23–5.59safer0.00–2.620.68–3.520.68–6.15
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
14%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction2.144.336.47safe0.71–3.582.77–5.893.48–9.47safer0.32–3.972.35–6.312.67–10.28
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.39 1.42–3.36 1.17–3.61 | 0.90 0.05–1.76 0.00–1.98 | 3.29 1.47–5.11 0.99–5.59 | 70% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.76 4.90–8.63 4.41–9.12 | 3.16 1.42–4.90 0.95–5.37 | 9.93 6.32–13.53 5.37–14.49 | 84% |
| Total shots | 19.48 15.56–23.41 14.47–24.50 | 9.36 5.80–12.93 4.84–13.88 | 28.84 21.36–36.33 19.31–38.38 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 13.67 10.73–16.61 9.90–17.44 | 5.62 2.94–8.30 2.20–9.04 | 19.29 13.67–24.91 12.10–26.48 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 5.43 3.55–7.31 3.00–7.85 | 2.71 1.06–4.36 0.56–4.85 | 8.14 4.60–11.67 3.57–12.71 | 78% |
| Corners | 7.43 5.21–9.64 4.64–10.21 | 3.33 1.33–5.33 0.80–5.86 | 10.75 6.54–14.97 5.43–16.08 | 87% |
| Possession % | 60.80 54.01–67.59 52.34–69.26 | 38.92 32.14–45.71 30.47–47.38 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 537 470–604 452–622 | 328 262–394 244–412 | 865 731–999 696–1034 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.69 71.66–79.72 70.37–81.01 | 66.33 62.00–70.65 60.69–71.96 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 11.22 8.38–14.06 7.62–14.81 | 12.01 9.07–14.96 8.32–15.71 | 23.23 17.45–29.01 15.95–30.52 | 39% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.22–3.14 | 1.82 0.72–2.91 0.44–3.20 | 3.50 1.24–5.75 0.65–6.34 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.31 0.26–2.36 0.00–2.62 | 2.10 0.97–3.23 0.68–3.52 | 3.41 1.23–5.59 0.68–6.15 | 23% 21% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.14 0.71–3.58 0.32–3.97 | 4.33 2.77–5.89 2.35–6.31 | 6.47 3.48–9.47 2.67–10.28 | 14% 75% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.