Bundesliga·Regular Season - 20·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
22%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.021.892.91safe0.06–1.991.03–2.741.09–4.73safer0.00–2.240.81–2.970.61–5.21
Shots on target
20%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction3.375.288.65safe1.51–5.233.54–7.025.04–12.25safer1.02–5.723.07–7.494.09–13.21
Total shots
18%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8215.0225.83safe6.89–14.7411.45–18.5818.35–33.32safer5.80–15.8310.49–19.5416.30–35.37
Shots in box
14%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.4910.3316.82safe3.55–9.437.64–13.0111.19–22.44safer2.72–10.266.91–13.749.63–24.01
Blocked shots
20%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.994.837.82safe1.11–4.883.17–6.484.28–11.35safer0.57–5.422.68–6.973.25–12.39
Corners
26%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction4.235.749.98safe2.02–6.453.74–7.745.76–14.19safer1.45–7.023.21–8.284.65–15.30
Possession %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction42.6357.85safe35.84–49.4251.06–64.63safer34.17–51.0949.39–66.30
Passes
16%
84%
homeawaytotalprediction382501883safe315–449435–568750–1017safer297–467417–585714–1053
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction66.3377.87safe62.30–70.3673.54–82.19safer61.01–71.6572.24–83.50
Fouls
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2212.1622.37safe7.38–13.059.21–15.1016.59–28.16safer6.62–13.818.46–15.8515.09–29.66
Offsides
54%
20%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.201.483.68safe1.04–3.360.39–2.571.43–5.93safer0.74–3.660.10–2.860.84–6.52
Yellow cards
39%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.843.70safe0.81–2.910.72–2.971.52–5.88safer0.54–3.170.42–3.270.97–6.44
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.100.21safe0.00–0.270.00–0.280.00–0.56safer0.00–0.420.00–0.420.00–0.84
GK saves
60%
15%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.462.355.81safe2.02–4.890.79–3.902.81–8.80safer1.63–5.280.37–4.332.00–9.61
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.02 0.06–1.99 0.00–2.24 | 1.89 1.03–2.74 0.81–2.97 | 2.91 1.09–4.73 0.61–5.21 | 20% 22% 58% |
| Shots on target | 3.37 1.51–5.23 1.02–5.72 | 5.28 3.54–7.02 3.07–7.49 | 8.65 5.04–12.25 4.09–13.21 | 20% 68% |
| Total shots | 10.82 6.89–14.74 5.80–15.83 | 15.02 11.45–18.58 10.49–19.54 | 25.83 18.35–33.32 16.30–35.37 | 18% 77% |
| Shots in box | 6.49 3.55–9.43 2.72–10.26 | 10.33 7.64–13.01 6.91–13.74 | 16.82 11.19–22.44 9.63–24.01 | 14% 79% |
| Blocked shots | 2.99 1.11–4.88 0.57–5.42 | 4.83 3.17–6.48 2.68–6.97 | 7.82 4.28–11.35 3.25–12.39 | 20% 68% |
| Corners | 4.23 2.02–6.45 1.45–7.02 | 5.74 3.74–7.74 3.21–8.28 | 9.98 5.76–14.19 4.65–15.30 | 26% 62% |
| Possession % | 42.63 35.84–49.42 34.17–51.09 | 57.85 51.06–64.63 49.39–66.30 | — | 17% 80% |
| Passes | 382 315–449 297–467 | 501 435–568 417–585 | 883 750–1017 714–1053 | 16% 84% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.33 62.30–70.36 61.01–71.65 | 77.87 73.54–82.19 72.24–83.50 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 10.22 7.38–13.05 6.62–13.81 | 12.16 9.21–15.10 8.46–15.85 | 22.37 16.59–28.16 15.09–29.66 | 30% 62% |
| Offsides | 2.20 1.04–3.36 0.74–3.66 | 1.48 0.39–2.57 0.10–2.86 | 3.68 1.43–5.93 0.84–6.52 | 54% 20% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.86 0.81–2.91 0.54–3.17 | 1.84 0.72–2.97 0.42–3.27 | 3.70 1.52–5.88 0.97–6.44 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.46 2.02–4.89 1.63–5.28 | 2.35 0.79–3.90 0.37–4.33 | 5.81 2.81–8.80 2.00–9.61 | 60% 15% 25% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.