Bundesliga·Regular Season - 20·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
25%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.042.67safe0.66–2.600.19–1.900.85–4.50safer0.41–2.850.00–2.130.37–4.98
Shots on target
62%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.743.378.11safe2.87–6.601.63–5.114.50–11.71safer2.38–7.091.16–5.583.55–12.67
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction13.639.8823.51safe9.71–17.566.31–13.4416.02–30.99safer8.62–18.655.35–14.4013.97–33.05
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction9.705.6815.39safe6.76–12.653.00–8.369.76–21.01safer5.93–13.482.26–9.108.20–22.58
Blocked shots
57%
15%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.772.796.56safe1.89–5.661.13–4.443.02–10.09safer1.35–6.200.64–4.931.99–11.13
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.343.6510.00safe4.13–8.551.65–5.655.78–14.21safer3.55–9.131.12–6.194.68–15.32
Possession %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction52.5647.14safe45.77–59.3540.35–53.92safer44.10–61.0238.68–55.60
Passes
67%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction475423899safe408–543357–490765–1032safer390–561339–507729–1068
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction68.1570.72safe64.12–72.1866.39–75.04safer62.83–73.4865.08–76.35
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6411.5822.21safe7.80–13.478.63–14.5216.43–27.99safer7.04–14.237.88–15.2714.93–29.50
Offsides
40%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.473.01safe0.39–2.710.37–2.560.76–5.27safer0.09–3.010.08–2.850.17–5.86
Yellow cards
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.973.59safe0.57–2.670.84–3.101.41–5.77safer0.30–2.930.55–3.390.86–6.33
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
26%
16%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.293.315.60safe0.86–3.731.75–4.862.61–8.59safer0.47–4.121.33–5.291.80–9.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.63 0.66–2.60 0.41–2.85 | 1.04 0.19–1.90 0.00–2.13 | 2.67 0.85–4.50 0.37–4.98 | 51% 25% 24% |
| Shots on target | 4.74 2.87–6.60 2.38–7.09 | 3.37 1.63–5.11 1.16–5.58 | 8.11 4.50–11.71 3.55–12.67 | 62% 25% |
| Total shots | 13.63 9.71–17.56 8.62–18.65 | 9.88 6.31–13.44 5.35–14.40 | 23.51 16.02–30.99 13.97–33.05 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 9.70 6.76–12.65 5.93–13.48 | 5.68 3.00–8.36 2.26–9.10 | 15.39 9.76–21.01 8.20–22.58 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 3.77 1.89–5.66 1.35–6.20 | 2.79 1.13–4.44 0.64–4.93 | 6.56 3.02–10.09 1.99–11.13 | 57% 15% 28% |
| Corners | 6.34 4.13–8.55 3.55–9.13 | 3.65 1.65–5.65 1.12–6.19 | 10.00 5.78–14.21 4.68–15.32 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 52.56 45.77–59.35 44.10–61.02 | 47.14 40.35–53.92 38.68–55.60 | — | 60% 35% |
| Passes | 475 408–543 390–561 | 423 357–490 339–507 | 899 765–1032 729–1068 | 67% 33% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.15 64.12–72.18 62.83–73.48 | 70.72 66.39–75.04 65.08–76.35 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 10.64 7.80–13.47 7.04–14.23 | 11.58 8.63–14.52 7.88–15.27 | 22.21 16.43–27.99 14.93–29.50 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.55 0.39–2.71 0.09–3.01 | 1.47 0.37–2.56 0.08–2.85 | 3.01 0.76–5.27 0.17–5.86 | 40% 24% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.62 0.57–2.67 0.30–2.93 | 1.97 0.84–3.10 0.55–3.39 | 3.59 1.41–5.77 0.86–6.33 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.29 0.86–3.73 0.47–4.12 | 3.31 1.75–4.86 1.33–5.29 | 5.60 2.61–8.59 1.80–9.41 | 26% 16% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+