Bundesliga·Regular Season - 20·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
24%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.122.85safe0.77–2.710.26–1.971.03–4.68safer0.52–2.960.03–2.200.55–5.16
Shots on target
57%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.204.159.34safe3.33–7.062.40–5.895.74–12.95safer2.84–7.551.94–6.354.78–13.90
Total shots
59%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction15.4513.7129.17safe11.53–19.3810.15–17.2821.68–36.66safer10.44–20.479.19–18.2419.63–38.71
Shots in box
69%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction10.467.8718.33safe7.52–13.405.19–10.5512.71–23.96safer6.69–14.234.45–11.2911.14–25.52
Blocked shots
45%
15%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.783.587.36safe1.89–5.661.93–5.233.82–10.89safer1.35–6.201.43–5.722.78–11.93
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction6.004.8810.88safe3.79–8.222.88–6.886.67–15.10safer3.21–8.792.35–7.425.56–16.20
Possession %
61%
34%
homeawayprediction53.0147.15safe46.22–59.8040.37–53.94safer44.55–61.4738.70–55.61
Passes
74%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction472395867safe405–539328–461733–1001safer387–558311–479698–1036
Pass accuracy %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction69.2369.49safe65.20–73.2665.17–73.82safer63.91–74.5563.86–75.13
Fouls
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7211.2822.99safe8.88–14.558.33–14.2217.21–28.77safer8.12–15.317.58–14.9715.70–30.28
Offsides
56%
18%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.571.714.28safe1.41–3.730.62–2.812.03–6.54safer1.11–4.030.33–3.101.44–7.13
Yellow cards
33%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.722.023.74safe0.67–2.770.89–3.151.56–5.92safer0.41–3.040.60–3.441.01–6.48
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
31%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.853.576.42safe1.42–4.292.01–5.123.43–9.41safer1.03–4.681.58–5.552.61–10.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.74 0.77–2.71 0.52–2.96 | 1.12 0.26–1.97 0.03–2.20 | 2.85 1.03–4.68 0.55–5.16 | 52% 24% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.20 3.33–7.06 2.84–7.55 | 4.15 2.40–5.89 1.94–6.35 | 9.34 5.74–12.95 4.78–13.90 | 57% 30% |
| Total shots | 15.45 11.53–19.38 10.44–20.47 | 13.71 10.15–17.28 9.19–18.24 | 29.17 21.68–36.66 19.63–38.71 | 59% 34% |
| Shots in box | 10.46 7.52–13.40 6.69–14.23 | 7.87 5.19–10.55 4.45–11.29 | 18.33 12.71–23.96 11.14–25.52 | 69% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 3.78 1.89–5.66 1.35–6.20 | 3.58 1.93–5.23 1.43–5.72 | 7.36 3.82–10.89 2.78–11.93 | 45% 15% 40% |
| Corners | 6.00 3.79–8.22 3.21–8.79 | 4.88 2.88–6.88 2.35–7.42 | 10.88 6.67–15.10 5.56–16.20 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 53.01 46.22–59.80 44.55–61.47 | 47.15 40.37–53.94 38.70–55.61 | — | 61% 34% |
| Passes | 472 405–539 387–558 | 395 328–461 311–479 | 867 733–1001 698–1036 | 74% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.23 65.20–73.26 63.91–74.55 | 69.49 65.17–73.82 63.86–75.13 | — | 46% 49% |
| Fouls | 11.72 8.88–14.55 8.12–15.31 | 11.28 8.33–14.22 7.58–14.97 | 22.99 17.21–28.77 15.70–30.28 | 49% 42% |
| Offsides | 2.57 1.41–3.73 1.11–4.03 | 1.71 0.62–2.81 0.33–3.10 | 4.28 2.03–6.54 1.44–7.13 | 56% 18% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.72 0.67–2.77 0.41–3.04 | 2.02 0.89–3.15 0.60–3.44 | 3.74 1.56–5.92 1.01–6.48 | 33% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.85 1.42–4.29 1.03–4.68 | 3.57 2.01–5.12 1.58–5.55 | 6.42 3.43–9.41 2.61–10.22 | 31% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+