Bundesliga·Regular Season - 20·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
63%
20%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.181.063.24safe1.21–3.150.21–1.921.42–5.06safer0.96–3.400.00–2.150.94–5.54
Shots on target
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.223.589.80safe4.36–8.081.84–5.326.20–13.41safer3.87–8.571.37–5.795.24–14.36
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction17.6410.3327.97safe13.71–21.566.77–13.8920.48–35.45safer12.62–22.655.81–14.8518.43–37.51
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction11.536.3817.91safe8.59–14.473.70–9.0612.29–23.54safer7.76–15.302.96–9.8010.72–25.10
Blocked shots
63%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.543.137.67safe2.66–6.421.48–4.784.14–11.21safer2.12–6.970.99–5.283.10–12.24
Corners
76%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.814.0110.82safe4.59–9.022.01–6.016.61–15.03safer4.02–9.591.48–6.545.50–16.14
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.7240.42safe52.93–66.5133.63–47.20safer51.26–68.1831.96–48.87
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction583393976safe515–650327–460842–1110safer497–668309–477806–1145
Pass accuracy %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction73.2269.63safe69.19–77.2565.30–73.95safer67.90–78.5463.99–75.26
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7811.2922.07safe7.95–13.628.34–14.2316.29–27.85safer7.19–14.387.59–14.9814.78–29.36
Offsides
52%
21%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.081.443.52safe0.92–3.240.35–2.531.26–5.77safer0.62–3.540.06–2.820.67–6.36
Yellow cards
28%
22%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.923.31safe0.34–2.440.79–3.051.13–5.49safer0.08–2.710.50–3.340.57–6.04
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
22%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.403.806.20safe0.96–3.842.25–5.363.21–9.19safer0.58–4.221.82–5.782.40–10.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.18 1.21–3.15 0.96–3.40 | 1.06 0.21–1.92 0.00–2.15 | 3.24 1.42–5.06 0.94–5.54 | 63% 20% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.22 4.36–8.08 3.87–8.57 | 3.58 1.84–5.32 1.37–5.79 | 9.80 6.20–13.41 5.24–14.36 | 75% 15% |
| Total shots | 17.64 13.71–21.56 12.62–22.65 | 10.33 6.77–13.89 5.81–14.85 | 27.97 20.48–35.45 18.43–37.51 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 11.53 8.59–14.47 7.76–15.30 | 6.38 3.70–9.06 2.96–9.80 | 17.91 12.29–23.54 10.72–25.10 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 4.54 2.66–6.42 2.12–6.97 | 3.13 1.48–4.78 0.99–5.28 | 7.67 4.14–11.21 3.10–12.24 | 63% 24% |
| Corners | 6.81 4.59–9.02 4.02–9.59 | 4.01 2.01–6.01 1.48–6.54 | 10.82 6.61–15.03 5.50–16.14 | 76% 16% |
| Possession % | 59.72 52.93–66.51 51.26–68.18 | 40.42 33.63–47.20 31.96–48.87 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 583 515–650 497–668 | 393 327–460 309–477 | 976 842–1110 806–1145 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.22 69.19–77.25 67.90–78.54 | 69.63 65.30–73.95 63.99–75.26 | — | 66% 30% |
| Fouls | 10.78 7.95–13.62 7.19–14.38 | 11.29 8.34–14.23 7.59–14.98 | 22.07 16.29–27.85 14.78–29.36 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 2.08 0.92–3.24 0.62–3.54 | 1.44 0.35–2.53 0.06–2.82 | 3.52 1.26–5.77 0.67–6.36 | 52% 21% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.39 0.34–2.44 0.08–2.71 | 1.92 0.79–3.05 0.50–3.34 | 3.31 1.13–5.49 0.57–6.04 | 28% 22% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.40 0.96–3.84 0.58–4.22 | 3.80 2.25–5.36 1.82–5.78 | 6.20 3.21–9.19 2.40–10.01 | 22% 14% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.