Bundesliga·Regular Season - 20·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
24%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.281.712.99safe0.32–2.250.86–2.571.17–4.82safer0.06–2.500.63–2.790.69–5.30
Shots on target
31%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.705.7410.44safe2.83–6.564.00–7.496.84–14.05safer2.34–7.053.54–7.955.88–15.00
Total shots
42%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4315.0429.47safe10.51–18.3511.48–18.6021.98–36.96safer9.41–19.4510.52–19.5619.93–39.01
Shots in box
38%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction8.999.8018.79safe6.05–11.937.12–12.4813.17–24.41safer5.22–12.766.38–13.2211.60–25.98
Blocked shots
39%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.944.258.18safe2.05–5.822.59–5.904.65–11.72safer1.51–6.362.10–6.393.61–12.75
Corners
36%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.965.6410.60safe2.75–7.183.64–7.646.39–14.82safer2.18–7.753.11–8.175.28–15.92
Possession %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction42.1457.49safe35.35–48.9350.71–64.28safer33.68–50.6049.04–65.95
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction374517891safe307–441451–584757–1025safer289–459433–601722–1060
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction66.4475.61safe62.41–70.4771.29–79.94safer61.12–71.7669.98–81.25
Fouls
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1010.6023.69safe10.26–15.947.65–13.5417.91–29.48safer9.51–16.696.90–14.2916.41–30.98
Offsides
46%
20%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.191.884.07safe1.02–3.350.79–2.981.82–6.32safer0.72–3.650.50–3.271.23–6.91
Yellow cards
47%
20%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.281.894.17safe1.23–3.330.76–3.021.99–6.35safer0.97–3.600.47–3.311.44–6.91
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.110.25safe0.00–0.300.00–0.300.00–0.60safer0.00–0.450.00–0.430.00–0.88
GK saves
48%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.503.146.64safe2.06–4.941.59–4.703.65–9.64safer1.68–5.321.16–5.122.84–10.45
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.28 0.32–2.25 0.06–2.50 | 1.71 0.86–2.57 0.63–2.79 | 2.99 1.17–4.82 0.69–5.30 | 29% 24% 47% |
| Shots on target | 4.70 2.83–6.56 2.34–7.05 | 5.74 4.00–7.49 3.54–7.95 | 10.44 6.84–14.05 5.88–15.00 | 31% 57% |
| Total shots | 14.43 10.51–18.35 9.41–19.45 | 15.04 11.48–18.60 10.52–19.56 | 29.47 21.98–36.96 19.93–39.01 | 42% 51% |
| Shots in box | 8.99 6.05–11.93 5.22–12.76 | 9.80 7.12–12.48 6.38–13.22 | 18.79 13.17–24.41 11.60–25.98 | 38% 53% |
| Blocked shots | 3.94 2.05–5.82 1.51–6.36 | 4.25 2.59–5.90 2.10–6.39 | 8.18 4.65–11.72 3.61–12.75 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Corners | 4.96 2.75–7.18 2.18–7.75 | 5.64 3.64–7.64 3.11–8.17 | 10.60 6.39–14.82 5.28–15.92 | 36% 52% |
| Possession % | 42.14 35.35–48.93 33.68–50.60 | 57.49 50.71–64.28 49.04–65.95 | — | 17% 80% |
| Passes | 374 307–441 289–459 | 517 451–584 433–601 | 891 757–1025 722–1060 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.44 62.41–70.47 61.12–71.76 | 75.61 71.29–79.94 69.98–81.25 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 13.10 10.26–15.94 9.51–16.69 | 10.60 7.65–13.54 6.90–14.29 | 23.69 17.91–29.48 16.41–30.98 | 66% 27% |
| Offsides | 2.19 1.02–3.35 0.72–3.65 | 1.88 0.79–2.98 0.50–3.27 | 4.07 1.82–6.32 1.23–6.91 | 46% 20% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 2.28 1.23–3.33 0.97–3.60 | 1.89 0.76–3.02 0.47–3.31 | 4.17 1.99–6.35 1.44–6.91 | 47% 20% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 3.50 2.06–4.94 1.68–5.32 | 3.14 1.59–4.70 1.16–5.12 | 6.64 3.65–9.64 2.84–10.45 | 48% 16% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+