Bundesliga·Regular Season - 20·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
25%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.392.78safe0.41–2.350.54–2.250.95–4.60safer0.16–2.600.31–2.480.47–5.08
Shots on target
42%
14%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.274.398.66safe2.41–6.132.65–6.135.06–12.27safer1.92–6.622.18–6.604.10–13.22
Total shots
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2313.3127.55safe10.31–18.169.75–16.8820.06–35.03safer9.22–19.258.79–17.8418.01–37.08
Shots in box
47%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction8.828.6217.44safe5.88–11.765.94–11.3011.81–23.06safer5.05–12.595.20–12.0410.25–24.63
Blocked shots
56%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.113.197.30safe2.23–5.991.54–4.853.77–10.84safer1.68–6.541.05–5.342.73–11.87
Corners
49%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.044.649.67safe2.82–7.252.64–6.645.46–13.89safer2.25–7.822.10–7.174.35–14.99
Possession %
57%
39%
homeawayprediction51.9748.07safe45.18–58.7641.29–54.86safer43.51–60.4339.62–56.53
Passes
68%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction426369796safe359–494303–436662–929safer341–512285–453626–965
Pass accuracy %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction65.9067.20safe61.87–69.9362.88–71.52safer60.58–71.2261.57–72.83
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2413.0825.32safe9.40–15.0810.14–16.0219.54–31.10safer8.65–15.839.39–16.7718.03–32.61
Offsides
34%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.703.17safe0.32–2.640.60–2.790.92–5.43safer0.02–2.940.31–3.080.33–6.02
Yellow cards
33%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.882.224.09safe0.83–2.921.09–3.341.91–6.27safer0.56–3.190.80–3.641.36–6.83
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.130.22safe0.00–0.250.00–0.320.00–0.57safer0.00–0.400.00–0.450.00–0.85
GK saves
39%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.903.035.93safe1.46–4.331.48–4.592.94–8.92safer1.07–4.721.05–5.012.12–9.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.38 0.41–2.35 0.16–2.60 | 1.39 0.54–2.25 0.31–2.48 | 2.78 0.95–4.60 0.47–5.08 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.27 2.41–6.13 1.92–6.62 | 4.39 2.65–6.13 2.18–6.60 | 8.66 5.06–12.27 4.10–13.22 | 42% 14% 45% |
| Total shots | 14.23 10.31–18.16 9.22–19.25 | 13.31 9.75–16.88 8.79–17.84 | 27.55 20.06–35.03 18.01–37.08 | 53% 39% |
| Shots in box | 8.82 5.88–11.76 5.05–12.59 | 8.62 5.94–11.30 5.20–12.04 | 17.44 11.81–23.06 10.25–24.63 | 47% 43% |
| Blocked shots | 4.11 2.23–5.99 1.68–6.54 | 3.19 1.54–4.85 1.05–5.34 | 7.30 3.77–10.84 2.73–11.87 | 56% 14% 30% |
| Corners | 5.04 2.82–7.25 2.25–7.82 | 4.64 2.64–6.64 2.10–7.17 | 9.67 5.46–13.89 4.35–14.99 | 49% 39% |
| Possession % | 51.97 45.18–58.76 43.51–60.43 | 48.07 41.29–54.86 39.62–56.53 | — | 57% 39% |
| Passes | 426 359–494 341–512 | 369 303–436 285–453 | 796 662–929 626–965 | 68% 32% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.90 61.87–69.93 60.58–71.22 | 67.20 62.88–71.52 61.57–72.83 | — | 41% 54% |
| Fouls | 12.24 9.40–15.08 8.65–15.83 | 13.08 10.14–16.02 9.39–16.77 | 25.32 19.54–31.10 18.03–32.61 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.48 0.32–2.64 0.02–2.94 | 1.70 0.60–2.79 0.31–3.08 | 3.17 0.92–5.43 0.33–6.02 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.88 0.83–2.92 0.56–3.19 | 2.22 1.09–3.34 0.80–3.64 | 4.09 1.91–6.27 1.36–6.83 | 33% 20% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.90 1.46–4.33 1.07–4.72 | 3.03 1.48–4.59 1.05–5.01 | 5.93 2.94–8.92 2.12–9.73 | 39% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.