Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
21%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.052.013.06safe0.08–2.021.15–2.861.24–4.88safer0.00–2.270.93–3.090.76–5.36
Shots on target
22%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.595.378.96safe1.73–5.453.63–7.115.36–12.57safer1.24–5.943.16–7.584.40–13.52
Total shots
17%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5616.0527.61safe7.64–15.4912.48–19.6120.12–35.10safer6.55–16.5811.52–20.5718.07–37.15
Shots in box
14%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.6310.4917.12safe3.68–9.577.81–13.1711.50–22.74safer2.85–10.407.08–13.919.93–24.31
Blocked shots
17%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction2.794.877.66safe0.91–4.673.22–6.524.13–11.20safer0.37–5.222.73–7.023.09–12.23
Corners
17%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction3.666.049.71safe1.45–5.874.04–8.045.49–13.92safer0.87–6.453.51–8.584.38–15.03
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction40.6860.44safe33.89–47.4753.65–67.22safer32.22–49.1451.98–68.89
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction352509861safe285–419442–575727–995safer267–437425–593692–1030
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction62.1277.23safe58.09–66.1572.91–81.56safer56.80–67.4471.60–82.87
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4711.8724.34safe9.63–15.318.92–14.8118.55–30.12safer8.88–16.068.17–15.5617.05–31.62
Offsides
51%
21%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.031.443.47safe0.87–3.190.35–2.541.22–5.73safer0.57–3.490.06–2.820.63–6.32
Yellow cards
43%
21%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.031.863.90safe0.99–3.080.73–2.991.72–6.08safer0.72–3.350.44–3.281.16–6.63
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.100.22safe0.00–0.280.00–0.290.00–0.57safer0.00–0.430.00–0.420.00–0.85
GK saves
61%
14%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.852.606.44safe2.41–5.281.04–4.153.45–9.44safer2.02–5.670.62–4.582.64–10.25
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.05 0.08–2.02 0.00–2.27 | 2.01 1.15–2.86 0.93–3.09 | 3.06 1.24–4.88 0.76–5.36 | 19% 21% 60% |
| Shots on target | 3.59 1.73–5.45 1.24–5.94 | 5.37 3.63–7.11 3.16–7.58 | 8.96 5.36–12.57 4.40–13.52 | 22% 66% |
| Total shots | 11.56 7.64–15.49 6.55–16.58 | 16.05 12.48–19.61 11.52–20.57 | 27.61 20.12–35.10 18.07–37.15 | 17% 78% |
| Shots in box | 6.63 3.68–9.57 2.85–10.40 | 10.49 7.81–13.17 7.08–13.91 | 17.12 11.50–22.74 9.93–24.31 | 14% 79% |
| Blocked shots | 2.79 0.91–4.67 0.37–5.22 | 4.87 3.22–6.52 2.73–7.02 | 7.66 4.13–11.20 3.09–12.23 | 17% 72% |
| Corners | 3.66 1.45–5.87 0.87–6.45 | 6.04 4.04–8.04 3.51–8.58 | 9.71 5.49–13.92 4.38–15.03 | 17% 73% |
| Possession % | 40.68 33.89–47.47 32.22–49.14 | 60.44 53.65–67.22 51.98–68.89 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 352 285–419 267–437 | 509 442–575 425–593 | 861 727–995 692–1030 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.12 58.09–66.15 56.80–67.44 | 77.23 72.91–81.56 71.60–82.87 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 12.47 9.63–15.31 8.88–16.06 | 11.87 8.92–14.81 8.17–15.56 | 24.34 18.55–30.12 17.05–31.62 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 2.03 0.87–3.19 0.57–3.49 | 1.44 0.35–2.54 0.06–2.82 | 3.47 1.22–5.73 0.63–6.32 | 51% 21% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 2.03 0.99–3.08 0.72–3.35 | 1.86 0.73–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 3.90 1.72–6.08 1.16–6.63 | 43% 21% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.85 2.41–5.28 2.02–5.67 | 2.60 1.04–4.15 0.62–4.58 | 6.44 3.45–9.44 2.64–10.25 | 61% 14% 24% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.