Bundesliga·Regular Season - 21·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
23%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.353.21safe0.90–2.830.49–2.201.39–5.04safer0.65–3.090.26–2.430.91–5.52
Shots on target
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.904.8710.77safe4.04–7.763.13–6.617.17–14.38safer3.55–8.252.66–7.086.21–15.33
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction17.0712.8729.93safe13.14–20.999.30–16.4322.45–37.42safer12.05–22.088.34–17.3920.40–39.47
Shots in box
65%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction10.738.5419.27safe7.78–13.675.86–11.2213.64–24.89safer6.95–14.505.12–11.9612.08–26.46
Blocked shots
55%
13%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.753.868.61safe2.86–6.632.21–5.525.07–12.14safer2.32–7.171.72–6.014.04–13.18
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction6.304.4110.70safe4.08–8.512.41–6.416.49–14.92safer3.51–9.081.87–6.945.38–16.02
Possession %
55%
41%
homeawayprediction51.5248.51safe44.73–58.3141.72–55.29safer43.06–59.9840.05–56.96
Passes
65%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction521473995safe454–589407–540861–1128safer436–607389–557825–1164
Pass accuracy %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction72.6475.38safe68.61–76.6771.05–79.70safer67.32–77.9669.74–81.01
Fouls
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2213.0323.25safe7.38–13.0610.08–15.9717.46–29.03safer6.63–13.819.33–16.7215.96–30.53
Offsides
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.833.46safe0.47–2.790.73–2.921.21–5.71safer0.17–3.100.45–3.210.62–6.30
Yellow cards
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.943.56safe0.58–2.670.81–3.071.39–5.74safer0.31–2.940.52–3.360.83–6.30
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
37%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.213.566.78safe1.78–4.652.01–5.123.79–9.77safer1.39–5.041.58–5.552.97–10.58
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.87 0.90–2.83 0.65–3.09 | 1.35 0.49–2.20 0.26–2.43 | 3.21 1.39–5.04 0.91–5.52 | 50% 23% 28% |
| Shots on target | 5.90 4.04–7.76 3.55–8.25 | 4.87 3.13–6.61 2.66–7.08 | 10.77 7.17–14.38 6.21–15.33 | 56% 32% |
| Total shots | 17.07 13.14–20.99 12.05–22.08 | 12.87 9.30–16.43 8.34–17.39 | 29.93 22.45–37.42 20.40–39.47 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 10.73 7.78–13.67 6.95–14.50 | 8.54 5.86–11.22 5.12–11.96 | 19.27 13.64–24.89 12.08–26.46 | 65% 27% |
| Blocked shots | 4.75 2.86–6.63 2.32–7.17 | 3.86 2.21–5.52 1.72–6.01 | 8.61 5.07–12.14 4.04–13.18 | 55% 13% 32% |
| Corners | 6.30 4.08–8.51 3.51–9.08 | 4.41 2.41–6.41 1.87–6.94 | 10.70 6.49–14.92 5.38–16.02 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 51.52 44.73–58.31 43.06–59.98 | 48.51 41.72–55.29 40.05–56.96 | — | 55% 41% |
| Passes | 521 454–589 436–607 | 473 407–540 389–557 | 995 861–1128 825–1164 | 65% 34% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.64 68.61–76.67 67.32–77.96 | 75.38 71.05–79.70 69.74–81.01 | — | 34% 61% |
| Fouls | 10.22 7.38–13.06 6.63–13.81 | 13.03 10.08–15.97 9.33–16.72 | 23.25 17.46–29.03 15.96–30.53 | 25% 68% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.17–3.10 | 1.83 0.73–2.92 0.45–3.21 | 3.46 1.21–5.71 0.62–6.30 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.62 0.58–2.67 0.31–2.94 | 1.94 0.81–3.07 0.52–3.36 | 3.56 1.39–5.74 0.83–6.30 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.21 1.78–4.65 1.39–5.04 | 3.56 2.01–5.12 1.58–5.55 | 6.78 3.79–9.77 2.97–10.58 | 37% 16% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.