Bundesliga·Regular Season - 22·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
23%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.813.05safe0.27–2.210.96–2.671.23–4.87safer0.02–2.460.73–2.900.75–5.35
Shots on target
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction4.356.2310.58safe2.49–6.224.49–7.976.98–14.19safer2.00–6.714.02–8.446.02–15.14
Total shots
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9115.8128.71safe8.98–16.8312.25–19.3721.23–36.20safer7.89–17.9211.29–20.3319.18–38.25
Shots in box
28%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction7.869.8317.69safe4.92–10.807.15–12.5112.07–23.32safer4.09–11.636.41–13.2510.50–24.88
Blocked shots
28%
14%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction3.294.417.71safe1.41–5.182.76–6.074.17–11.24safer0.87–5.722.27–6.563.14–12.28
Corners
27%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction4.586.0710.65safe2.37–6.794.07–8.076.43–14.86safer1.79–7.373.53–8.605.33–15.97
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction40.0859.45safe33.29–46.8752.66–66.23safer31.62–48.5450.99–67.91
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction388566954safe321–455500–633821–1088safer303–473482–650785–1124
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction68.2379.13safe64.20–72.2674.81–83.46safer62.90–73.5573.50–84.77
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1310.8021.93safe8.30–13.977.86–13.7516.15–27.72safer7.54–14.737.11–14.4914.65–29.22
Offsides
51%
21%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.101.533.63safe0.94–3.260.44–2.631.38–5.88safer0.64–3.560.15–2.910.79–6.47
Yellow cards
44%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.121.883.99safe1.07–3.170.75–3.001.81–6.17safer0.80–3.430.46–3.301.26–6.73
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.110.22safe0.00–0.270.00–0.300.00–0.57safer0.00–0.420.00–0.430.00–0.85
GK saves
52%
16%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.562.906.46safe2.13–5.001.35–4.463.47–9.46safer1.74–5.390.92–4.882.66–10.27
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.24 0.27–2.21 0.02–2.46 | 1.81 0.96–2.67 0.73–2.90 | 3.05 1.23–4.87 0.75–5.35 | 26% 23% 51% |
| Shots on target | 4.35 2.49–6.22 2.00–6.71 | 6.23 4.49–7.97 4.02–8.44 | 10.58 6.98–14.19 6.02–15.14 | 23% 66% |
| Total shots | 12.91 8.98–16.83 7.89–17.92 | 15.81 12.25–19.37 11.29–20.33 | 28.71 21.23–36.20 19.18–38.25 | 26% 67% |
| Shots in box | 7.86 4.92–10.80 4.09–11.63 | 9.83 7.15–12.51 6.41–13.25 | 17.69 12.07–23.32 10.50–24.88 | 28% 64% |
| Blocked shots | 3.29 1.41–5.18 0.87–5.72 | 4.41 2.76–6.07 2.27–6.56 | 7.71 4.17–11.24 3.14–12.28 | 28% 14% 59% |
| Corners | 4.58 2.37–6.79 1.79–7.37 | 6.07 4.07–8.07 3.53–8.60 | 10.65 6.43–14.86 5.33–15.97 | 27% 62% |
| Possession % | 40.08 33.29–46.87 31.62–48.54 | 59.45 52.66–66.23 50.99–67.91 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 388 321–455 303–473 | 566 500–633 482–650 | 954 821–1088 785–1124 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.23 64.20–72.26 62.90–73.55 | 79.13 74.81–83.46 73.50–84.77 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 11.13 8.30–13.97 7.54–14.73 | 10.80 7.86–13.75 7.11–14.49 | 21.93 16.15–27.72 14.65–29.22 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 2.10 0.94–3.26 0.64–3.56 | 1.53 0.44–2.63 0.15–2.91 | 3.63 1.38–5.88 0.79–6.47 | 51% 21% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 2.12 1.07–3.17 0.80–3.43 | 1.88 0.75–3.00 0.46–3.30 | 3.99 1.81–6.17 1.26–6.73 | 44% 21% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.56 2.13–5.00 1.74–5.39 | 2.90 1.35–4.46 0.92–4.88 | 6.46 3.47–9.46 2.66–10.27 | 52% 16% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.