Bundesliga·Regular Season - 22·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
23%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.273.02safe0.79–2.720.42–2.121.20–4.85safer0.54–2.970.19–2.350.72–5.33
Shots on target
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.923.619.52safe4.06–7.781.86–5.355.92–13.13safer3.57–8.271.40–5.814.96–14.08
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction17.3911.1828.57safe13.47–21.327.62–14.7421.08–36.06safer12.38–22.416.66–15.7019.03–38.11
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction10.986.4217.40safe8.04–13.923.74–9.1011.78–23.03safer7.21–14.753.01–9.8410.21–24.59
Blocked shots
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.643.167.80safe2.75–6.521.51–4.824.26–11.34safer2.21–7.061.02–5.313.23–12.37
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.613.7910.40safe4.39–8.821.79–5.796.19–14.61safer3.82–9.391.26–6.335.08–15.72
Possession %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction54.4945.09safe47.70–61.2838.31–51.88safer46.03–62.9536.64–53.55
Passes
75%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction449369817safe381–516302–435684–951safer363–534285–453648–987
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction69.2768.09safe65.24–73.3063.76–72.41safer63.95–74.5962.45–73.72
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9510.9821.93safe8.12–13.798.03–13.9216.15–27.71safer7.36–14.557.29–14.6714.65–29.22
Offsides
36%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.753.37safe0.45–2.770.66–2.851.11–5.62safer0.15–3.070.37–3.140.52–6.21
Yellow cards
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.843.48safe0.59–2.690.71–2.971.30–5.66safer0.33–2.960.42–3.260.75–6.22
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.56safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
20%
14%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.363.896.25safe0.93–3.802.33–5.453.26–9.25safer0.54–4.191.91–5.872.45–10.06
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.76 0.79–2.72 0.54–2.97 | 1.27 0.42–2.12 0.19–2.35 | 3.02 1.20–4.85 0.72–5.33 | 49% 23% 28% |
| Shots on target | 5.92 4.06–7.78 3.57–8.27 | 3.61 1.86–5.35 1.40–5.81 | 9.52 5.92–13.13 4.96–14.08 | 72% 18% |
| Total shots | 17.39 13.47–21.32 12.38–22.41 | 11.18 7.62–14.74 6.66–15.70 | 28.57 21.08–36.06 19.03–38.11 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 10.98 8.04–13.92 7.21–14.75 | 6.42 3.74–9.10 3.01–9.84 | 17.40 11.78–23.03 10.21–24.59 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 4.64 2.75–6.52 2.21–7.06 | 3.16 1.51–4.82 1.02–5.31 | 7.80 4.26–11.34 3.23–12.37 | 64% 24% |
| Corners | 6.61 4.39–8.82 3.82–9.39 | 3.79 1.79–5.79 1.26–6.33 | 10.40 6.19–14.61 5.08–15.72 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 54.49 47.70–61.28 46.03–62.95 | 45.09 38.31–51.88 36.64–53.55 | — | 69% 27% |
| Passes | 449 381–516 363–534 | 369 302–435 285–453 | 817 684–951 648–987 | 75% 25% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.27 65.24–73.30 63.95–74.59 | 68.09 63.76–72.41 62.45–73.72 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 10.95 8.12–13.79 7.36–14.55 | 10.98 8.03–13.92 7.29–14.67 | 21.93 16.15–27.71 14.65–29.22 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.15–3.07 | 1.75 0.66–2.85 0.37–3.14 | 3.37 1.11–5.62 0.52–6.21 | 36% 23% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.64 0.59–2.69 0.33–2.96 | 1.84 0.71–2.97 0.42–3.26 | 3.48 1.30–5.66 0.75–6.22 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.36 0.93–3.80 0.54–4.19 | 3.89 2.33–5.45 1.91–5.87 | 6.25 3.26–9.25 2.45–10.06 | 20% 14% 66% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.