Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
27%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.011.412.42safe0.04–1.980.55–2.260.60–4.24safer0.00–2.230.33–2.490.12–4.72
Shots on target
38%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.593.917.50safe1.73–5.452.17–5.653.89–11.10safer1.24–5.941.70–6.122.94–12.06
Total shots
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7312.3125.04safe8.81–16.668.75–15.8717.56–32.53safer7.72–17.757.79–16.8315.50–34.58
Shots in box
33%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction7.498.7516.24safe4.55–10.446.07–11.4310.62–21.87safer3.72–11.275.33–12.179.05–23.43
Blocked shots
42%
15%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.533.567.09safe1.64–5.411.91–5.213.55–10.62safer1.10–5.951.41–5.702.51–11.66
Corners
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.565.369.92safe2.35–6.773.36–7.365.71–14.13safer1.77–7.352.83–7.904.60–15.24
Possession %
23%
74%
homeawayprediction44.3856.11safe37.59–51.1749.33–62.90safer35.92–52.8447.66–64.57
Passes
24%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction399481880safe331–466415–547746–1013safer313–484397–565710–1049
Pass accuracy %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction63.4070.69safe59.37–67.4366.37–75.01safer58.08–68.7365.06–76.32
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0710.8521.92safe8.24–13.917.90–13.7916.14–27.70safer7.48–14.677.15–14.5414.63–29.21
Offsides
45%
24%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.302.90safe0.45–2.770.20–2.390.65–5.16safer0.15–3.070.00–2.680.06–5.75
Yellow cards
43%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.563.34safe0.73–2.830.43–2.691.16–5.51safer0.46–3.090.14–2.980.60–6.07
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
39%
18%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.592.725.32safe1.16–4.031.17–4.282.32–8.31safer0.77–4.420.74–4.701.51–9.12
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.01 0.04–1.98 0.00–2.23 | 1.41 0.55–2.26 0.33–2.49 | 2.42 0.60–4.24 0.12–4.72 | 27% 27% 46% |
| Shots on target | 3.59 1.73–5.45 1.24–5.94 | 3.91 2.17–5.65 1.70–6.12 | 7.50 3.89–11.10 2.94–12.06 | 38% 15% 47% |
| Total shots | 12.73 8.81–16.66 7.72–17.75 | 12.31 8.75–15.87 7.79–16.83 | 25.04 17.56–32.53 15.50–34.58 | 49% 43% |
| Shots in box | 7.49 4.55–10.44 3.72–11.27 | 8.75 6.07–11.43 5.33–12.17 | 16.24 10.62–21.87 9.05–23.43 | 33% 57% |
| Blocked shots | 3.53 1.64–5.41 1.10–5.95 | 3.56 1.91–5.21 1.41–5.70 | 7.09 3.55–10.62 2.51–11.66 | 42% 15% 43% |
| Corners | 4.56 2.35–6.77 1.77–7.35 | 5.36 3.36–7.36 2.83–7.90 | 9.92 5.71–14.13 4.60–15.24 | 34% 54% |
| Possession % | 44.38 37.59–51.17 35.92–52.84 | 56.11 49.33–62.90 47.66–64.57 | — | 23% 74% |
| Passes | 399 331–466 313–484 | 481 415–547 397–565 | 880 746–1013 710–1049 | 24% 75% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.40 59.37–67.43 58.08–68.73 | 70.69 66.37–75.01 65.06–76.32 | — | 16% 81% |
| Fouls | 11.07 8.24–13.91 7.48–14.67 | 10.85 7.90–13.79 7.15–14.54 | 21.92 16.14–27.70 14.63–29.21 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.15–3.07 | 1.30 0.20–2.39 0.00–2.68 | 2.90 0.65–5.16 0.06–5.75 | 45% 24% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.78 0.73–2.83 0.46–3.09 | 1.56 0.43–2.69 0.14–2.98 | 3.34 1.16–5.51 0.60–6.07 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.59 1.16–4.03 0.77–4.42 | 2.72 1.17–4.28 0.74–4.70 | 5.32 2.32–8.31 1.51–9.12 | 39% 18% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+