Championship·Regular Season - 16·
Championship·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
23%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.082.94safe0.90–2.840.22–1.931.12–4.77safer0.65–3.090.00–2.160.64–5.24
Shots on target
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.373.759.11safe3.50–7.232.00–5.495.51–12.72safer3.01–7.721.54–5.954.55–13.67
Total shots
76%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction15.0211.0026.02safe11.09–18.947.44–14.5618.53–33.51safer10.00–20.036.48–15.5216.48–35.56
Shots in box
69%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction10.017.4417.46safe7.07–12.964.76–10.1311.84–23.08safer6.24–13.794.03–10.8610.27–24.65
Blocked shots
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.853.328.17safe2.97–6.731.67–4.984.64–11.71safer2.42–7.271.18–5.473.60–12.74
Corners
73%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.453.9810.43safe4.24–8.661.98–5.986.21–14.64safer3.66–9.241.44–6.515.11–15.75
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction60.6139.45safe53.82–67.4032.67–46.24safer52.15–69.0731.00–47.91
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction570342913safe503–638276–409779–1046safer485–656258–426743–1082
Pass accuracy %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction74.2268.52safe70.19–78.2564.19–72.84safer68.90–79.5462.88–74.15
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5610.8322.39safe8.72–14.397.89–13.7716.61–28.17safer7.96–15.157.14–14.5215.10–29.67
Offsides
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.733.49safe0.60–2.920.63–2.821.23–5.74safer0.30–3.220.34–3.110.64–6.33
Yellow cards
35%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.833.49safe0.61–2.710.71–2.961.31–5.67safer0.34–2.970.41–3.250.76–6.23
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.070.12safe0.00–0.200.00–0.260.00–0.46safer0.00–0.350.00–0.390.00–0.75
GK saves
31%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.613.285.89safe1.17–4.041.72–4.842.90–8.88safer0.78–4.431.30–5.262.08–9.69
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.87 0.90–2.84 0.65–3.09 | 1.08 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 2.94 1.12–4.77 0.64–5.24 | 56% 23% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.37 3.50–7.23 3.01–7.72 | 3.75 2.00–5.49 1.54–5.95 | 9.11 5.51–12.72 4.55–13.67 | 64% 24% |
| Total shots | 15.02 11.09–18.94 10.00–20.03 | 11.00 7.44–14.56 6.48–15.52 | 26.02 18.53–33.51 16.48–35.56 | 76% 19% |
| Shots in box | 10.01 7.07–12.96 6.24–13.79 | 7.44 4.76–10.13 4.03–10.86 | 17.46 11.84–23.08 10.27–24.65 | 69% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 4.85 2.97–6.73 2.42–7.27 | 3.32 1.67–4.98 1.18–5.47 | 8.17 4.64–11.71 3.60–12.74 | 64% 24% |
| Corners | 6.45 4.24–8.66 3.66–9.24 | 3.98 1.98–5.98 1.44–6.51 | 10.43 6.21–14.64 5.11–15.75 | 73% 18% |
| Possession % | 60.61 53.82–67.40 52.15–69.07 | 39.45 32.67–46.24 31.00–47.91 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 570 503–638 485–656 | 342 276–409 258–426 | 913 779–1046 743–1082 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.22 70.19–78.25 68.90–79.54 | 68.52 64.19–72.84 62.88–74.15 | — | 75% 21% |
| Fouls | 11.56 8.72–14.39 7.96–15.15 | 10.83 7.89–13.77 7.14–14.52 | 22.39 16.61–28.17 15.10–29.67 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 1.73 0.63–2.82 0.34–3.11 | 3.49 1.23–5.74 0.64–6.33 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.61–2.71 0.34–2.97 | 1.83 0.71–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 3.49 1.31–5.67 0.76–6.23 | 35% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.46 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.61 1.17–4.04 0.78–4.43 | 3.28 1.72–4.84 1.30–5.26 | 5.89 2.90–8.88 2.08–9.69 | 31% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.