Championship·Regular Season - 16·
Championship·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
26%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.382.74safe0.38–2.320.53–2.240.91–4.56safer0.13–2.570.30–2.470.43–5.04
Shots on target
42%
14%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.284.408.69safe2.42–6.152.66–6.155.08–12.29safer1.93–6.642.19–6.614.13–13.25
Total shots
44%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8214.1627.98safe9.90–17.7510.60–17.7220.50–35.47safer8.81–18.849.64–18.6818.45–37.52
Shots in box
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction9.188.8318.01safe6.24–12.126.15–11.5112.39–23.63safer5.41–12.955.41–12.2510.82–25.20
Blocked shots
39%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.753.987.72safe1.86–5.632.32–5.634.19–11.26safer1.32–6.171.83–6.123.15–12.29
Corners
46%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.014.809.82safe2.80–7.232.80–6.815.61–14.03safer2.23–7.802.27–7.344.50–15.14
Possession %
33%
63%
homeawayprediction46.8053.43safe40.01–53.5946.65–60.22safer38.34–55.2644.98–61.89
Passes
36%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction414455869safe347–481389–522735–1003safer329–499371–539700–1038
Pass accuracy %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction66.4073.04safe62.37–70.4368.71–77.36safer61.08–71.7267.40–78.67
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0612.4623.51safe8.22–13.899.51–15.4017.73–29.30safer7.46–14.658.76–16.1516.23–30.80
Offsides
47%
21%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.081.723.79safe0.92–3.240.62–2.811.54–6.05safer0.62–3.540.33–3.100.95–6.63
Yellow cards
39%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.062.074.13safe1.01–3.110.95–3.201.95–6.31safer0.74–3.370.65–3.501.40–6.87
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.120.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.390.00–0.440.00–0.83
GK saves
45%
17%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.952.735.68safe1.52–4.391.17–4.282.69–8.67safer1.13–4.780.75–4.711.88–9.49
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.38–2.32 0.13–2.57 | 1.38 0.53–2.24 0.30–2.47 | 2.74 0.91–4.56 0.43–5.04 | 36% 26% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.28 2.42–6.15 1.93–6.64 | 4.40 2.66–6.15 2.19–6.61 | 8.69 5.08–12.29 4.13–13.25 | 42% 14% 45% |
| Total shots | 13.82 9.90–17.75 8.81–18.84 | 14.16 10.60–17.72 9.64–18.68 | 27.98 20.50–35.47 18.45–37.52 | 44% 49% |
| Shots in box | 9.18 6.24–12.12 5.41–12.95 | 8.83 6.15–11.51 5.41–12.25 | 18.01 12.39–23.63 10.82–25.20 | 49% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 3.75 1.86–5.63 1.32–6.17 | 3.98 2.32–5.63 1.83–6.12 | 7.72 4.19–11.26 3.15–12.29 | 39% 15% 46% |
| Corners | 5.01 2.80–7.23 2.23–7.80 | 4.80 2.80–6.81 2.27–7.34 | 9.82 5.61–14.03 4.50–15.14 | 46% 41% |
| Possession % | 46.80 40.01–53.59 38.34–55.26 | 53.43 46.65–60.22 44.98–61.89 | — | 33% 63% |
| Passes | 414 347–481 329–499 | 455 389–522 371–539 | 869 735–1003 700–1038 | 36% 63% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.40 62.37–70.43 61.08–71.72 | 73.04 68.71–77.36 67.40–78.67 | — | 18% 79% |
| Fouls | 11.06 8.22–13.89 7.46–14.65 | 12.46 9.51–15.40 8.76–16.15 | 23.51 17.73–29.30 16.23–30.80 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 2.08 0.92–3.24 0.62–3.54 | 1.72 0.62–2.81 0.33–3.10 | 3.79 1.54–6.05 0.95–6.63 | 47% 21% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 2.06 1.01–3.11 0.74–3.37 | 2.07 0.95–3.20 0.65–3.50 | 4.13 1.95–6.31 1.40–6.87 | 39% 20% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.95 1.52–4.39 1.13–4.78 | 2.73 1.17–4.28 0.75–4.71 | 5.68 2.69–8.67 1.88–9.49 | 45% 17% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.