Championship·Regular Season - 16·
Championship·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
23%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.032.80safe0.80–2.740.18–1.890.98–4.62safer0.55–2.990.00–2.110.50–5.10
Shots on target
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.763.429.19safe3.90–7.631.68–5.165.58–12.79safer3.41–8.121.21–5.634.63–13.75
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction17.7910.2828.07safe13.87–21.716.71–13.8420.58–35.55safer12.77–22.815.76–14.8018.53–37.61
Shots in box
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction11.017.3618.37safe8.06–13.954.68–10.0412.74–23.99safer7.23–14.783.94–10.7811.18–25.56
Blocked shots
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.583.047.62safe2.70–6.461.39–4.694.09–11.16safer2.16–7.010.89–5.183.05–12.19
Corners
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.363.8610.22safe4.15–8.571.86–5.866.00–14.43safer3.57–9.151.33–6.394.90–15.54
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction61.6039.98safe54.81–68.3933.19–46.76safer53.14–70.0631.52–48.44
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction562343904safe495–629276–409771–1038safer476–647259–427735–1074
Pass accuracy %
79%
17%
homeawayprediction76.5769.77safe72.54–80.6065.44–74.09safer71.25–81.8964.13–75.40
Fouls
24%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2213.1523.37safe7.38–13.0510.21–16.1017.59–29.15safer6.62–13.819.46–16.8416.08–30.65
Offsides
49%
22%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.011.523.52safe0.85–3.170.42–2.611.27–5.78safer0.55–3.470.13–2.900.68–6.37
Yellow cards
23%
20%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.452.343.79safe0.41–2.501.21–3.471.61–5.97safer0.14–2.770.92–3.761.06–6.53
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
27%
16%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.493.475.96safe1.05–3.921.92–5.032.97–8.95safer0.66–4.311.49–5.452.15–9.76
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.77 0.80–2.74 0.55–2.99 | 1.03 0.18–1.89 0.00–2.11 | 2.80 0.98–4.62 0.50–5.10 | 55% 23% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.76 3.90–7.63 3.41–8.12 | 3.42 1.68–5.16 1.21–5.63 | 9.19 5.58–12.79 4.63–13.75 | 73% 17% |
| Total shots | 17.79 13.87–21.71 12.77–22.81 | 10.28 6.71–13.84 5.76–14.80 | 28.07 20.58–35.55 18.53–37.61 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 11.01 8.06–13.95 7.23–14.78 | 7.36 4.68–10.04 3.94–10.78 | 18.37 12.74–23.99 11.18–25.56 | 77% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 4.58 2.70–6.46 2.16–7.01 | 3.04 1.39–4.69 0.89–5.18 | 7.62 4.09–11.16 3.05–12.19 | 65% 23% |
| Corners | 6.36 4.15–8.57 3.57–9.15 | 3.86 1.86–5.86 1.33–6.39 | 10.22 6.00–14.43 4.90–15.54 | 73% 17% |
| Possession % | 61.60 54.81–68.39 53.14–70.06 | 39.98 33.19–46.76 31.52–48.44 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 562 495–629 476–647 | 343 276–409 259–427 | 904 771–1038 735–1074 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.57 72.54–80.60 71.25–81.89 | 69.77 65.44–74.09 64.13–75.40 | — | 79% 17% |
| Fouls | 10.22 7.38–13.05 6.62–13.81 | 13.15 10.21–16.10 9.46–16.84 | 23.37 17.59–29.15 16.08–30.65 | 24% 69% |
| Offsides | 2.01 0.85–3.17 0.55–3.47 | 1.52 0.42–2.61 0.13–2.90 | 3.52 1.27–5.78 0.68–6.37 | 49% 22% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.45 0.41–2.50 0.14–2.77 | 2.34 1.21–3.47 0.92–3.76 | 3.79 1.61–5.97 1.06–6.53 | 23% 20% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.49 1.05–3.92 0.66–4.31 | 3.47 1.92–5.03 1.49–5.45 | 5.96 2.97–8.95 2.15–9.76 | 27% 16% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.