Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
24%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction1.700.762.46safe0.73–2.670.00–1.610.64–4.28safer0.48–2.920.00–1.840.16–4.76
Shots on target
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.122.737.85safe3.26–6.990.99–4.474.25–11.46safer2.77–7.480.52–4.943.29–12.41
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction16.888.3925.27safe12.95–20.804.83–11.9517.78–32.76safer11.86–21.893.87–12.9115.73–34.81
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction10.255.8216.07safe7.31–13.203.14–8.5010.45–21.69safer6.48–14.022.40–9.248.88–23.26
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction5.142.477.61safe3.25–7.020.82–4.134.07–11.14safer2.71–7.560.33–4.623.04–12.18
Corners
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.603.7110.31safe4.39–8.821.71–5.716.10–14.53safer3.82–9.391.18–6.244.99–15.63
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.1936.98safe55.40–68.9830.19–43.76safer53.73–70.6528.52–45.43
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction511289800safe444–578222–355666–933safer425–596205–373630–969
Pass accuracy %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction71.5065.67safe67.47–75.5361.34–69.99safer66.18–76.8260.03–71.30
Fouls
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8614.0025.86safe9.03–14.7011.05–16.9420.08–31.65safer8.27–15.4610.31–17.6918.58–33.15
Offsides
24%
19%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.562.444.00safe0.40–2.721.34–3.531.75–6.25safer0.10–3.031.06–3.821.16–6.84
Yellow cards
23%
19%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.482.433.91safe0.43–2.531.30–3.561.73–6.09safer0.17–2.801.01–3.851.18–6.65
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
22%
16%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.963.225.18safe0.53–3.401.66–4.772.19–8.17safer0.14–3.791.24–5.201.38–8.98
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.70 0.73–2.67 0.48–2.92 | 0.76 0.00–1.61 0.00–1.84 | 2.46 0.64–4.28 0.16–4.76 | 60% 24% 16% |
| Shots on target | 5.12 3.26–6.99 2.77–7.48 | 2.73 0.99–4.47 0.52–4.94 | 7.85 4.25–11.46 3.29–12.41 | 75% 15% |
| Total shots | 16.88 12.95–20.80 11.86–21.89 | 8.39 4.83–11.95 3.87–12.91 | 25.27 17.78–32.76 15.73–34.81 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 10.25 7.31–13.20 6.48–14.02 | 5.82 3.14–8.50 2.40–9.24 | 16.07 10.45–21.69 8.88–23.26 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 5.14 3.25–7.02 2.71–7.56 | 2.47 0.82–4.13 0.33–4.62 | 7.61 4.07–11.14 3.04–12.18 | 79% |
| Corners | 6.60 4.39–8.82 3.82–9.39 | 3.71 1.71–5.71 1.18–6.24 | 10.31 6.10–14.53 4.99–15.63 | 77% 14% |
| Possession % | 62.19 55.40–68.98 53.73–70.65 | 36.98 30.19–43.76 28.52–45.43 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 511 444–578 425–596 | 289 222–355 205–373 | 800 666–933 630–969 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.50 67.47–75.53 66.18–76.82 | 65.67 61.34–69.99 60.03–71.30 | — | 75% 21% |
| Fouls | 11.86 9.03–14.70 8.27–15.46 | 14.00 11.05–16.94 10.31–17.69 | 25.86 20.08–31.65 18.58–33.15 | 30% 63% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.10–3.03 | 2.44 1.34–3.53 1.06–3.82 | 4.00 1.75–6.25 1.16–6.84 | 24% 19% 57% |
| Yellow cards | 1.48 0.43–2.53 0.17–2.80 | 2.43 1.30–3.56 1.01–3.85 | 3.91 1.73–6.09 1.18–6.65 | 23% 19% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 1.96 0.53–3.40 0.14–3.79 | 3.22 1.66–4.77 1.24–5.20 | 5.18 2.19–8.17 1.38–8.98 | 22% 16% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.