Championship·Regular Season - 17·
Championship·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
27%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.271.172.44safe0.31–2.240.31–2.020.62–4.27safer0.05–2.490.09–2.250.14–4.74
Shots on target
53%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.353.607.95safe2.49–6.211.86–5.344.34–11.55safer2.00–6.701.39–5.813.39–12.51
Total shots
73%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0010.5324.53safe10.08–17.926.97–14.0917.04–32.02safer8.98–19.026.01–15.0514.99–34.07
Shots in box
53%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction8.567.7016.27safe5.62–11.505.02–10.3810.64–21.89safer4.79–12.334.29–11.129.08–23.46
Blocked shots
60%
14%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.112.967.07safe2.23–6.001.30–4.613.54–10.61safer1.69–6.540.81–5.102.50–11.64
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.534.459.97safe3.31–7.742.45–6.455.76–14.19safer2.74–8.311.92–6.984.65–15.29
Possession %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction50.4949.56safe43.70–57.2842.78–56.35safer42.03–58.9541.11–58.02
Passes
56%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction480461941safe412–547395–528807–1074safer394–565377–545771–1110
Pass accuracy %
35%
61%
homeawayprediction66.4269.00safe62.39–70.4564.67–73.32safer61.10–71.7463.36–74.63
Fouls
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction9.7711.7321.50safe6.93–12.608.79–14.6815.72–27.28safer6.17–13.368.04–15.4314.21–28.79
Offsides
42%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.433.04safe0.45–2.770.33–2.520.79–5.30safer0.15–3.080.05–2.810.20–5.88
Yellow cards
28%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.883.26safe0.33–2.430.75–3.011.08–5.44safer0.06–2.690.46–3.300.52–6.00
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
28%
17%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.273.065.33safe0.83–3.701.50–4.622.33–8.32safer0.44–4.091.08–5.041.52–9.13
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.27 0.31–2.24 0.05–2.49 | 1.17 0.31–2.02 0.09–2.25 | 2.44 0.62–4.27 0.14–4.74 | 39% 27% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.35 2.49–6.21 2.00–6.70 | 3.60 1.86–5.34 1.39–5.81 | 7.95 4.34–11.55 3.39–12.51 | 53% 14% 33% |
| Total shots | 14.00 10.08–17.92 8.98–19.02 | 10.53 6.97–14.09 6.01–15.05 | 24.53 17.04–32.02 14.99–34.07 | 73% 21% |
| Shots in box | 8.56 5.62–11.50 4.79–12.33 | 7.70 5.02–10.38 4.29–11.12 | 16.27 10.64–21.89 9.08–23.46 | 53% 37% |
| Blocked shots | 4.11 2.23–6.00 1.69–6.54 | 2.96 1.30–4.61 0.81–5.10 | 7.07 3.54–10.61 2.50–11.64 | 60% 14% 26% |
| Corners | 5.53 3.31–7.74 2.74–8.31 | 4.45 2.45–6.45 1.92–6.98 | 9.97 5.76–14.19 4.65–15.29 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 50.49 43.70–57.28 42.03–58.95 | 49.56 42.78–56.35 41.11–58.02 | — | 50% 45% |
| Passes | 480 412–547 394–565 | 461 395–528 377–545 | 941 807–1074 771–1110 | 56% 44% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.42 62.39–70.45 61.10–71.74 | 69.00 64.67–73.32 63.36–74.63 | — | 35% 61% |
| Fouls | 9.77 6.93–12.60 6.17–13.36 | 11.73 8.79–14.68 8.04–15.43 | 21.50 15.72–27.28 14.21–28.79 | 30% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.15–3.08 | 1.43 0.33–2.52 0.05–2.81 | 3.04 0.79–5.30 0.20–5.88 | 42% 24% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.38 0.33–2.43 0.06–2.69 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.26 1.08–5.44 0.52–6.00 | 28% 22% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.27 0.83–3.70 0.44–4.09 | 3.06 1.50–4.62 1.08–5.04 | 5.33 2.33–8.32 1.52–9.13 | 28% 17% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.