Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
26%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.162.64safe0.52–2.450.31–2.010.82–4.47safer0.26–2.700.08–2.240.34–4.95
Shots on target
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.953.638.58safe3.09–6.811.89–5.374.98–12.19safer2.60–7.301.42–5.844.02–13.14
Total shots
77%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction15.7711.4627.24safe11.85–19.707.90–15.0319.75–34.72safer10.76–20.796.94–15.9817.70–36.77
Shots in box
64%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction9.837.8817.71safe6.89–12.775.19–10.5612.08–23.33safer6.06–13.604.46–11.2910.52–24.90
Blocked shots
62%
13%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.463.077.53safe2.58–6.341.42–4.734.00–11.07safer2.03–6.880.93–5.222.96–12.10
Corners
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.284.1910.47safe4.06–8.492.19–6.196.25–14.68safer3.49–9.071.66–6.725.15–15.79
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction60.9738.86safe54.18–67.7632.08–45.65safer52.51–69.4330.41–47.32
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction532310842safe465–599243–376708–975safer447–617226–394672–1011
Pass accuracy %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction72.8265.59safe68.79–76.8561.26–69.91safer67.50–78.1459.95–71.22
Fouls
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8113.2624.07safe7.97–13.6410.32–16.2118.29–29.85safer7.21–14.409.57–16.9616.78–31.36
Offsides
41%
19%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.422.414.83safe1.26–3.581.32–3.502.58–7.09safer0.96–3.881.03–3.791.99–7.68
Yellow cards
27%
19%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.762.474.23safe0.71–2.811.34–3.602.05–6.41safer0.44–3.071.05–3.891.50–6.97
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
28%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.433.335.76safe0.99–3.861.78–4.892.77–8.75safer0.60–4.251.35–5.311.96–9.56
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.48 0.52–2.45 0.26–2.70 | 1.16 0.31–2.01 0.08–2.24 | 2.64 0.82–4.47 0.34–4.95 | 45% 26% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.95 3.09–6.81 2.60–7.30 | 3.63 1.89–5.37 1.42–5.84 | 8.58 4.98–12.19 4.02–13.14 | 61% 27% |
| Total shots | 15.77 11.85–19.70 10.76–20.79 | 11.46 7.90–15.03 6.94–15.98 | 27.24 19.75–34.72 17.70–36.77 | 77% 18% |
| Shots in box | 9.83 6.89–12.77 6.06–13.60 | 7.88 5.19–10.56 4.46–11.29 | 17.71 12.08–23.33 10.52–24.90 | 64% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 4.46 2.58–6.34 2.03–6.88 | 3.07 1.42–4.73 0.93–5.22 | 7.53 4.00–11.07 2.96–12.10 | 62% 13% 24% |
| Corners | 6.28 4.06–8.49 3.49–9.07 | 4.19 2.19–6.19 1.66–6.72 | 10.47 6.25–14.68 5.15–15.79 | 69% 21% |
| Possession % | 60.97 54.18–67.76 52.51–69.43 | 38.86 32.08–45.65 30.41–47.32 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 532 465–599 447–617 | 310 243–376 226–394 | 842 708–975 672–1011 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.82 68.79–76.85 67.50–78.14 | 65.59 61.26–69.91 59.95–71.22 | — | 81% 16% |
| Fouls | 10.81 7.97–13.64 7.21–14.40 | 13.26 10.32–16.21 9.57–16.96 | 24.07 18.29–29.85 16.78–31.36 | 27% 65% |
| Offsides | 2.42 1.26–3.58 0.96–3.88 | 2.41 1.32–3.50 1.03–3.79 | 4.83 2.58–7.09 1.99–7.68 | 41% 19% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.76 0.71–2.81 0.44–3.07 | 2.47 1.34–3.60 1.05–3.89 | 4.23 2.05–6.41 1.50–6.97 | 27% 19% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.43 0.99–3.86 0.60–4.25 | 3.33 1.78–4.89 1.35–5.31 | 5.76 2.77–8.75 1.96–9.56 | 28% 16% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+