Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
28%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.032.27safe0.27–2.210.18–1.890.45–4.10safer0.02–2.460.00–2.120.00–4.58
Shots on target
47%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.883.597.46safe2.01–5.741.84–5.333.86–11.07safer1.52–6.231.38–5.792.90–12.02
Total shots
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8811.1224.00safe8.95–16.807.56–14.6816.51–31.49safer7.86–17.896.60–15.6414.46–33.54
Shots in box
63%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction8.476.6815.15safe5.53–11.424.00–9.369.53–20.78safer4.70–12.243.26–10.107.96–22.34
Blocked shots
49%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.733.327.05safe1.85–5.611.66–4.973.51–10.58safer1.30–6.161.17–5.462.47–11.62
Corners
57%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.584.4810.06safe3.37–7.802.48–6.485.84–14.27safer2.79–8.371.94–7.014.74–15.38
Possession %
45%
51%
homeawayprediction49.1850.42safe42.39–55.9743.64–57.21safer40.72–57.6441.96–58.88
Passes
49%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction389391779safe321–456324–457646–913safer303–474307–475610–949
Pass accuracy %
28%
67%
homeawayprediction64.4668.39safe60.43–68.4964.07–72.72safer59.14–69.7862.76–74.02
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8512.2024.05safe9.01–14.689.26–15.1418.27–29.83safer8.25–15.448.51–15.8916.76–31.33
Offsides
37%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.513.00safe0.33–2.650.42–2.610.75–5.26safer0.03–2.950.13–2.900.16–5.85
Yellow cards
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.923.59safe0.61–2.710.79–3.051.41–5.76safer0.35–2.980.50–3.340.85–6.32
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.120.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.440.00–0.80
GK saves
36%
18%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.322.614.93safe0.88–3.751.06–4.171.94–7.92safer0.49–4.140.63–4.591.13–8.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.24 0.27–2.21 0.02–2.46 | 1.03 0.18–1.89 0.00–2.12 | 2.27 0.45–4.10 0.00–4.58 | 41% 28% 31% |
| Shots on target | 3.88 2.01–5.74 1.52–6.23 | 3.59 1.84–5.33 1.38–5.79 | 7.46 3.86–11.07 2.90–12.02 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Total shots | 12.88 8.95–16.80 7.86–17.89 | 11.12 7.56–14.68 6.60–15.64 | 24.00 16.51–31.49 14.46–33.54 | 60% 32% |
| Shots in box | 8.47 5.53–11.42 4.70–12.24 | 6.68 4.00–9.36 3.26–10.10 | 15.15 9.53–20.78 7.96–22.34 | 63% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 3.73 1.85–5.61 1.30–6.16 | 3.32 1.66–4.97 1.17–5.46 | 7.05 3.51–10.58 2.47–11.62 | 49% 15% 36% |
| Corners | 5.58 3.37–7.80 2.79–8.37 | 4.48 2.48–6.48 1.94–7.01 | 10.06 5.84–14.27 4.74–15.38 | 57% 30% |
| Possession % | 49.18 42.39–55.97 40.72–57.64 | 50.42 43.64–57.21 41.96–58.88 | — | 45% 51% |
| Passes | 389 321–456 303–474 | 391 324–457 307–475 | 779 646–913 610–949 | 49% 51% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.46 60.43–68.49 59.14–69.78 | 68.39 64.07–72.72 62.76–74.02 | — | 28% 67% |
| Fouls | 11.85 9.01–14.68 8.25–15.44 | 12.20 9.26–15.14 8.51–15.89 | 24.05 18.27–29.83 16.76–31.33 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.49 0.33–2.65 0.03–2.95 | 1.51 0.42–2.61 0.13–2.90 | 3.00 0.75–5.26 0.16–5.85 | 37% 24% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.61–2.71 0.35–2.98 | 1.92 0.79–3.05 0.50–3.34 | 3.59 1.41–5.76 0.85–6.32 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.32 0.88–3.75 0.49–4.14 | 2.61 1.06–4.17 0.63–4.59 | 4.93 1.94–7.92 1.13–8.73 | 36% 18% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+