Championship·Regular Season - 17·
Championship·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
23%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.810.992.80safe0.84–2.780.14–1.850.98–4.62safer0.59–3.030.00–2.080.50–5.10
Shots on target
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.313.628.93safe3.45–7.171.88–5.375.33–12.54safer2.96–7.661.41–5.834.37–13.49
Total shots
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5910.4225.02safe10.67–18.526.86–13.9817.53–32.50safer9.58–19.615.90–14.9415.48–34.55
Shots in box
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction10.526.6217.13safe7.57–13.463.94–9.3011.51–22.76safer6.74–14.293.20–10.049.94–24.32
Blocked shots
65%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.552.987.53safe2.67–6.431.32–4.633.99–11.06safer2.13–6.980.83–5.122.96–12.10
Corners
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.223.8410.06safe4.01–8.431.84–5.845.85–14.27safer3.43–9.011.31–6.374.74–15.38
Possession %
60%
36%
homeawayprediction52.5147.32safe45.72–59.3040.54–54.11safer44.05–60.9738.86–55.78
Passes
63%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction514472986safe447–581406–539853–1120safer429–599388–556817–1156
Pass accuracy %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction76.1775.13safe72.14–80.2070.80–79.45safer70.85–81.4969.49–80.76
Fouls
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7111.0021.70safe7.87–13.558.05–13.9415.92–27.49safer7.11–14.307.30–14.6914.42–28.99
Offsides
61%
17%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.921.784.70safe1.76–4.080.69–2.872.44–6.95safer1.46–4.380.40–3.161.86–7.54
Yellow cards
29%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.943.40safe0.41–2.510.81–3.071.22–5.58safer0.15–2.780.52–3.360.66–6.14
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.070.12safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.390.00–0.75
GK saves
27%
15%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.563.566.12safe1.12–4.002.00–5.123.13–9.11safer0.74–4.381.58–5.542.31–9.92
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.81 0.84–2.78 0.59–3.03 | 0.99 0.14–1.85 0.00–2.08 | 2.80 0.98–4.62 0.50–5.10 | 57% 23% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.31 3.45–7.17 2.96–7.66 | 3.62 1.88–5.37 1.41–5.83 | 8.93 5.33–12.54 4.37–13.49 | 65% 23% |
| Total shots | 14.59 10.67–18.52 9.58–19.61 | 10.42 6.86–13.98 5.90–14.94 | 25.02 17.53–32.50 15.48–34.55 | 77% 17% |
| Shots in box | 10.52 7.57–13.46 6.74–14.29 | 6.62 3.94–9.30 3.20–10.04 | 17.13 11.51–22.76 9.94–24.32 | 80% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.55 2.67–6.43 2.13–6.98 | 2.98 1.32–4.63 0.83–5.12 | 7.53 3.99–11.06 2.96–12.10 | 65% 22% |
| Corners | 6.22 4.01–8.43 3.43–9.01 | 3.84 1.84–5.84 1.31–6.37 | 10.06 5.85–14.27 4.74–15.38 | 72% 18% |
| Possession % | 52.51 45.72–59.30 44.05–60.97 | 47.32 40.54–54.11 38.86–55.78 | — | 60% 36% |
| Passes | 514 447–581 429–599 | 472 406–539 388–556 | 986 853–1120 817–1156 | 63% 36% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.17 72.14–80.20 70.85–81.49 | 75.13 70.80–79.45 69.49–80.76 | — | 53% 42% |
| Fouls | 10.71 7.87–13.55 7.11–14.30 | 11.00 8.05–13.94 7.30–14.69 | 21.70 15.92–27.49 14.42–28.99 | 43% 48% |
| Offsides | 2.92 1.76–4.08 1.46–4.38 | 1.78 0.69–2.87 0.40–3.16 | 4.70 2.44–6.95 1.86–7.54 | 61% 17% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.46 0.41–2.51 0.15–2.78 | 1.94 0.81–3.07 0.52–3.36 | 3.40 1.22–5.58 0.66–6.14 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.56 1.12–4.00 0.74–4.38 | 3.56 2.00–5.12 1.58–5.54 | 6.12 3.13–9.11 2.31–9.92 | 27% 15% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.