Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
19%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.221.053.27safe1.25–3.180.20–1.911.44–5.09safer1.00–3.440.00–2.130.96–5.57
Shots on target
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.773.389.14safe3.91–7.631.63–5.125.54–12.75safer3.42–8.121.17–5.584.58–13.70
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction16.889.3326.22safe12.96–20.815.77–12.9018.73–33.71safer11.87–21.904.81–13.8616.68–35.76
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction11.336.1917.52safe8.38–14.273.51–8.8711.89–23.14safer7.55–15.102.77–9.6110.33–24.71
Blocked shots
80%
homeawaytotalprediction4.972.257.22safe3.09–6.850.60–3.903.68–10.76safer2.54–7.400.10–4.392.65–11.79
Corners
79%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.673.6410.31safe4.45–8.881.64–5.646.09–14.52safer3.88–9.461.11–6.174.99–15.63
Possession %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction57.9742.15safe51.18–64.7635.37–48.94safer49.51–66.4333.70–50.61
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction527359886safe460–594293–426753–1020safer442–612275–443717–1056
Pass accuracy %
77%
20%
homeawayprediction75.1669.04safe71.13–79.1964.72–73.37safer69.84–80.4863.41–74.68
Fouls
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0011.0822.08safe8.17–13.848.13–14.0216.30–27.86safer7.41–14.607.38–14.7714.79–29.37
Offsides
17%
15%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction1.643.214.85safe0.48–2.802.12–4.302.60–7.10safer0.18–3.101.83–4.592.01–7.69
Yellow cards
28%
20%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.592.203.79safe0.54–2.641.07–3.331.61–5.97safer0.27–2.910.78–3.621.05–6.53
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
20%
14%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.243.745.98safe0.80–3.682.19–5.302.99–8.98safer0.42–4.061.76–5.732.18–9.79
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.22 1.25–3.18 1.00–3.44 | 1.05 0.20–1.91 0.00–2.13 | 3.27 1.44–5.09 0.96–5.57 | 64% 19% 17% |
| Shots on target | 5.77 3.91–7.63 3.42–8.12 | 3.38 1.63–5.12 1.17–5.58 | 9.14 5.54–12.75 4.58–13.70 | 73% 17% |
| Total shots | 16.88 12.96–20.81 11.87–21.90 | 9.33 5.77–12.90 4.81–13.86 | 26.22 18.73–33.71 16.68–35.76 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 11.33 8.38–14.27 7.55–15.10 | 6.19 3.51–8.87 2.77–9.61 | 17.52 11.89–23.14 10.33–24.71 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 4.97 3.09–6.85 2.54–7.40 | 2.25 0.60–3.90 0.10–4.39 | 7.22 3.68–10.76 2.65–11.79 | 80% |
| Corners | 6.67 4.45–8.88 3.88–9.46 | 3.64 1.64–5.64 1.11–6.17 | 10.31 6.09–14.52 4.99–15.63 | 79% 13% |
| Possession % | 57.97 51.18–64.76 49.51–66.43 | 42.15 35.37–48.94 33.70–50.61 | — | 81% 16% |
| Passes | 527 460–594 442–612 | 359 293–426 275–443 | 886 753–1020 717–1056 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.16 71.13–79.19 69.84–80.48 | 69.04 64.72–73.37 63.41–74.68 | — | 77% 20% |
| Fouls | 11.00 8.17–13.84 7.41–14.60 | 11.08 8.13–14.02 7.38–14.77 | 22.08 16.30–27.86 14.79–29.37 | 45% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.10 | 3.21 2.12–4.30 1.83–4.59 | 4.85 2.60–7.10 2.01–7.69 | 17% 15% 69% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.54–2.64 0.27–2.91 | 2.20 1.07–3.33 0.78–3.62 | 3.79 1.61–5.97 1.05–6.53 | 28% 20% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.24 0.80–3.68 0.42–4.06 | 3.74 2.19–5.30 1.76–5.73 | 5.98 2.99–8.98 2.18–9.79 | 20% 14% 66% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.