Championship·Regular Season - 17·
Championship·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
21%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.062.043.10safe0.09–2.021.19–2.901.28–4.92safer0.00–2.280.96–3.120.80–5.40
Shots on target
20%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction3.665.719.37safe1.80–5.523.96–7.455.76–12.97safer1.31–6.013.50–7.924.81–13.93
Total shots
23%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6715.0326.71safe7.75–15.6011.47–18.6019.22–34.20safer6.66–16.6910.51–19.5617.17–36.25
Shots in box
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction8.1710.3018.47safe5.23–11.117.62–12.9812.85–24.10safer4.40–11.946.88–13.7211.28–25.66
Blocked shots
33%
14%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.414.067.46safe1.52–5.292.41–5.713.93–11.00safer0.98–5.831.91–6.202.89–12.04
Corners
33%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.615.5310.14safe2.40–6.833.53–7.535.93–14.35safer1.83–7.402.99–8.064.82–15.46
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction39.9861.52safe33.19–46.7854.73–68.30safer31.52–48.4453.06–69.97
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction359553912safe292–426487–620778–1046safer273–444469–637743–1081
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction65.6277.17safe61.59–69.6572.85–81.50safer60.30–70.9471.54–82.80
Fouls
57%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5111.2123.73safe9.68–15.358.27–14.1617.94–29.51safer8.92–16.117.52–14.9116.44–31.01
Offsides
30%
20%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.742.243.98safe0.58–2.901.15–3.331.73–6.23safer0.28–3.200.86–3.621.14–6.82
Yellow cards
49%
20%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.331.864.20safe1.29–3.380.74–2.992.02–6.38safer1.02–3.650.44–3.281.46–6.93
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
55%
16%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.382.555.93safe1.94–4.820.99–4.102.94–8.92safer1.56–5.200.57–4.532.12–9.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.06 0.09–2.02 0.00–2.28 | 2.04 1.19–2.90 0.96–3.12 | 3.10 1.28–4.92 0.80–5.40 | 19% 21% 60% |
| Shots on target | 3.66 1.80–5.52 1.31–6.01 | 5.71 3.96–7.45 3.50–7.92 | 9.37 5.76–12.97 4.81–13.93 | 20% 69% |
| Total shots | 11.67 7.75–15.60 6.66–16.69 | 15.03 11.47–18.60 10.51–19.56 | 26.71 19.22–34.20 17.17–36.25 | 23% 71% |
| Shots in box | 8.17 5.23–11.11 4.40–11.94 | 10.30 7.62–12.98 6.88–13.72 | 18.47 12.85–24.10 11.28–25.66 | 27% 65% |
| Blocked shots | 3.41 1.52–5.29 0.98–5.83 | 4.06 2.41–5.71 1.91–6.20 | 7.46 3.93–11.00 2.89–12.04 | 33% 14% 52% |
| Corners | 4.61 2.40–6.83 1.83–7.40 | 5.53 3.53–7.53 2.99–8.06 | 10.14 5.93–14.35 4.82–15.46 | 33% 55% |
| Possession % | 39.98 33.19–46.78 31.52–48.44 | 61.52 54.73–68.30 53.06–69.97 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 359 292–426 273–444 | 553 487–620 469–637 | 912 778–1046 743–1081 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.62 61.59–69.65 60.30–70.94 | 77.17 72.85–81.50 71.54–82.80 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 12.51 9.68–15.35 8.92–16.11 | 11.21 8.27–14.16 7.52–14.91 | 23.73 17.94–29.51 16.44–31.01 | 57% 36% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 2.24 1.15–3.33 0.86–3.62 | 3.98 1.73–6.23 1.14–6.82 | 30% 20% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 2.33 1.29–3.38 1.02–3.65 | 1.86 0.74–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 4.20 2.02–6.38 1.46–6.93 | 49% 20% 31% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.38 1.94–4.82 1.56–5.20 | 2.55 0.99–4.10 0.57–4.53 | 5.93 2.94–8.92 2.12–9.73 | 55% 16% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+