Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
25%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.022.64safe0.66–2.590.17–1.880.82–4.47safer0.40–2.840.00–2.100.34–4.95
Shots on target
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.883.047.92safe3.02–6.741.30–4.784.31–11.52safer2.53–7.230.83–5.253.36–12.48
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction16.029.2425.26safe12.10–19.955.68–12.8017.78–32.75safer11.01–21.044.72–13.7615.73–34.80
Shots in box
77%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction10.216.6216.83safe7.27–13.153.94–9.3011.21–22.46safer6.44–13.983.20–10.049.64–24.02
Blocked shots
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.572.457.02safe2.69–6.450.80–4.113.49–10.56safer2.14–6.990.31–4.602.45–11.59
Corners
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.263.9110.17safe4.04–8.471.91–5.915.95–14.38safer3.47–9.041.38–6.444.85–15.49
Possession %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction57.2742.63safe50.48–64.0635.84–49.41safer48.81–65.7334.17–51.09
Passes
86%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction466337803safe398–533271–404669–937safer380–551254–421634–972
Pass accuracy %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction71.0968.61safe67.06–75.1264.28–72.93safer65.77–76.4162.98–74.24
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6513.3024.96safe8.82–14.4910.36–16.2519.18–30.74safer8.06–15.259.61–17.0017.67–32.25
Offsides
29%
19%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.792.404.20safe0.63–2.951.31–3.501.94–6.45safer0.33–3.251.02–3.781.35–7.04
Yellow cards
24%
18%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.692.614.31safe0.64–2.741.49–3.742.13–6.49safer0.38–3.011.19–4.031.57–7.04
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
24%
16%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.033.105.13safe0.59–3.461.55–4.662.14–8.12safer0.20–3.851.12–5.091.33–8.94
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.62 0.66–2.59 0.40–2.84 | 1.02 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.10 | 2.64 0.82–4.47 0.34–4.95 | 51% 25% 24% |
| Shots on target | 4.88 3.02–6.74 2.53–7.23 | 3.04 1.30–4.78 0.83–5.25 | 7.92 4.31–11.52 3.36–12.48 | 68% 20% |
| Total shots | 16.02 12.10–19.95 11.01–21.04 | 9.24 5.68–12.80 4.72–13.76 | 25.26 17.78–32.75 15.73–34.80 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 10.21 7.27–13.15 6.44–13.98 | 6.62 3.94–9.30 3.20–10.04 | 16.83 11.21–22.46 9.64–24.02 | 77% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 4.57 2.69–6.45 2.14–6.99 | 2.45 0.80–4.11 0.31–4.60 | 7.02 3.49–10.56 2.45–11.59 | 73% 16% |
| Corners | 6.26 4.04–8.47 3.47–9.04 | 3.91 1.91–5.91 1.38–6.44 | 10.17 5.95–14.38 4.85–15.49 | 72% 18% |
| Possession % | 57.27 50.48–64.06 48.81–65.73 | 42.63 35.84–49.41 34.17–51.09 | — | 79% 18% |
| Passes | 466 398–533 380–551 | 337 271–404 254–421 | 803 669–937 634–972 | 86% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.09 67.06–75.12 65.77–76.41 | 68.61 64.28–72.93 62.98–74.24 | — | 60% 35% |
| Fouls | 11.65 8.82–14.49 8.06–15.25 | 13.30 10.36–16.25 9.61–17.00 | 24.96 19.18–30.74 17.67–32.25 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.79 0.63–2.95 0.33–3.25 | 2.40 1.31–3.50 1.02–3.78 | 4.20 1.94–6.45 1.35–7.04 | 29% 19% 52% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.64–2.74 0.38–3.01 | 2.61 1.49–3.74 1.19–4.03 | 4.31 2.13–6.49 1.57–7.04 | 24% 18% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.03 0.59–3.46 0.20–3.85 | 3.10 1.55–4.66 1.12–5.09 | 5.13 2.14–8.12 1.33–8.94 | 24% 16% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.