Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
26%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.201.462.66safe0.23–2.170.61–2.320.84–4.49safer0.00–2.420.38–2.550.36–4.97
Shots on target
39%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.054.378.43safe2.19–5.922.63–6.114.82–12.03safer1.70–6.412.16–6.583.87–12.99
Total shots
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9112.8824.79safe7.99–15.849.32–16.4417.30–32.28safer6.90–16.938.36–17.4015.25–34.33
Shots in box
25%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction7.419.6417.05safe4.47–10.366.96–12.3211.43–22.67safer3.64–11.196.22–13.069.86–24.24
Blocked shots
45%
16%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.213.006.21safe1.33–5.091.35–4.652.67–9.74safer0.78–5.640.85–5.141.64–10.78
Corners
41%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction5.095.2810.36safe2.87–7.303.28–7.286.15–14.58safer2.30–7.872.74–7.815.04–15.68
Possession %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction44.4155.84safe37.62–51.2149.06–62.63safer35.95–52.8747.39–64.30
Passes
23%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction380468848safe312–447401–534714–981safer294–465384–552678–1017
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction65.3074.58safe61.27–69.3370.26–78.90safer59.98–70.6368.95–80.21
Fouls
71%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1110.8024.92safe11.28–16.957.86–13.7519.14–30.70safer10.52–17.717.11–14.5017.63–32.20
Offsides
16%
14%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction1.773.535.30safe0.61–2.932.44–4.623.05–7.55safer0.31–3.232.15–4.912.46–8.14
Yellow cards
40%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.913.83safe0.87–2.970.78–3.041.65–6.01safer0.60–3.230.49–3.331.09–6.56
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
43%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.962.875.82safe1.52–4.391.31–4.422.83–8.82safer1.13–4.780.89–4.852.02–9.63
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.20 0.23–2.17 0.00–2.42 | 1.46 0.61–2.32 0.38–2.55 | 2.66 0.84–4.49 0.36–4.97 | 31% 26% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.05 2.19–5.92 1.70–6.41 | 4.37 2.63–6.11 2.16–6.58 | 8.43 4.82–12.03 3.87–12.99 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Total shots | 11.91 7.99–15.84 6.90–16.93 | 12.88 9.32–16.44 8.36–17.40 | 24.79 17.30–32.28 15.25–34.33 | 38% 54% |
| Shots in box | 7.41 4.47–10.36 3.64–11.19 | 9.64 6.96–12.32 6.22–13.06 | 17.05 11.43–22.67 9.86–24.24 | 25% 66% |
| Blocked shots | 3.21 1.33–5.09 0.78–5.64 | 3.00 1.35–4.65 0.85–5.14 | 6.21 2.67–9.74 1.64–10.78 | 45% 16% 39% |
| Corners | 5.09 2.87–7.30 2.30–7.87 | 5.28 3.28–7.28 2.74–7.81 | 10.36 6.15–14.58 5.04–15.68 | 41% 46% |
| Possession % | 44.41 37.62–51.21 35.95–52.87 | 55.84 49.06–62.63 47.39–64.30 | — | 23% 73% |
| Passes | 380 312–447 294–465 | 468 401–534 384–552 | 848 714–981 678–1017 | 23% 77% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.30 61.27–69.33 59.98–70.63 | 74.58 70.26–78.90 68.95–80.21 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 14.11 11.28–16.95 10.52–17.71 | 10.80 7.86–13.75 7.11–14.50 | 24.92 19.14–30.70 17.63–32.20 | 71% 22% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.93 0.31–3.23 | 3.53 2.44–4.62 2.15–4.91 | 5.30 3.05–7.55 2.46–8.14 | 16% 14% 71% |
| Yellow cards | 1.92 0.87–2.97 0.60–3.23 | 1.91 0.78–3.04 0.49–3.33 | 3.83 1.65–6.01 1.09–6.56 | 40% 21% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.96 1.52–4.39 1.13–4.78 | 2.87 1.31–4.42 0.89–4.85 | 5.82 2.83–8.82 2.02–9.63 | 43% 17% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+