Championship·Regular Season - 17·
Championship·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
25%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.472.77safe0.34–2.270.61–2.320.95–4.59safer0.08–2.520.38–2.550.47–5.07
Shots on target
42%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.414.508.91safe2.55–6.272.76–6.245.31–12.52safer2.06–6.762.29–6.714.35–13.47
Total shots
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1913.0726.26safe9.27–17.119.51–16.6318.77–33.75safer8.17–18.218.55–17.5916.72–35.80
Shots in box
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction8.928.9917.91safe5.98–11.866.31–11.6712.28–23.53safer5.15–12.695.57–12.4110.72–25.10
Blocked shots
42%
15%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.793.827.60safe1.90–5.672.16–5.474.07–11.14safer1.36–6.211.67–5.963.03–12.17
Corners
48%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.184.8410.02safe2.97–7.402.84–6.845.81–14.24safer2.40–7.972.31–7.374.70–15.34
Possession %
56%
40%
homeawayprediction52.0848.61safe45.29–58.8741.83–55.40safer43.62–60.5440.16–57.07
Passes
67%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction449396845safe382–516330–463711–979safer364–534312–480676–1014
Pass accuracy %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction66.1668.38safe62.14–70.1964.06–72.71safer60.84–71.4962.75–74.01
Fouls
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5611.1121.66safe7.72–13.398.16–14.0515.88–27.45safer6.96–14.157.42–14.8014.38–28.95
Offsides
34%
19%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.202.574.77safe1.04–3.361.47–3.662.51–7.02safer0.74–3.661.18–3.951.92–7.61
Yellow cards
37%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.892.053.94safe0.84–2.940.92–3.181.76–6.12safer0.58–3.210.63–3.471.20–6.67
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.080.19safe0.00–0.270.00–0.260.00–0.54safer0.00–0.420.00–0.400.00–0.82
GK saves
45%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.152.926.08safe1.72–4.591.37–4.483.08–9.07safer1.33–4.980.94–4.902.27–9.88
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 0.34–2.27 0.08–2.52 | 1.47 0.61–2.32 0.38–2.55 | 2.77 0.95–4.59 0.47–5.07 | 34% 25% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.41 2.55–6.27 2.06–6.76 | 4.50 2.76–6.24 2.29–6.71 | 8.91 5.31–12.52 4.35–13.47 | 42% 14% 44% |
| Total shots | 13.19 9.27–17.11 8.17–18.21 | 13.07 9.51–16.63 8.55–17.59 | 26.26 18.77–33.75 16.72–35.80 | 47% 45% |
| Shots in box | 8.92 5.98–11.86 5.15–12.69 | 8.99 6.31–11.67 5.57–12.41 | 17.91 12.28–23.53 10.72–25.10 | 45% 46% |
| Blocked shots | 3.79 1.90–5.67 1.36–6.21 | 3.82 2.16–5.47 1.67–5.96 | 7.60 4.07–11.14 3.03–12.17 | 42% 15% 43% |
| Corners | 5.18 2.97–7.40 2.40–7.97 | 4.84 2.84–6.84 2.31–7.37 | 10.02 5.81–14.24 4.70–15.34 | 48% 39% |
| Possession % | 52.08 45.29–58.87 43.62–60.54 | 48.61 41.83–55.40 40.16–57.07 | — | 56% 40% |
| Passes | 449 382–516 364–534 | 396 330–463 312–480 | 845 711–979 676–1014 | 67% 33% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.16 62.14–70.19 60.84–71.49 | 68.38 64.06–72.71 62.75–74.01 | — | 36% 59% |
| Fouls | 10.56 7.72–13.39 6.96–14.15 | 11.11 8.16–14.05 7.42–14.80 | 21.66 15.88–27.45 14.38–28.95 | 41% 50% |
| Offsides | 2.20 1.04–3.36 0.74–3.66 | 2.57 1.47–3.66 1.18–3.95 | 4.77 2.51–7.02 1.92–7.61 | 34% 19% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 1.89 0.84–2.94 0.58–3.21 | 2.05 0.92–3.18 0.63–3.47 | 3.94 1.76–6.12 1.20–6.67 | 37% 21% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.15 1.72–4.59 1.33–4.98 | 2.92 1.37–4.48 0.94–4.90 | 6.08 3.08–9.07 2.27–9.88 | 45% 16% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+