Championship·Regular Season - 17·
Championship·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
25%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.560.932.49safe0.59–2.530.07–1.780.66–4.31safer0.34–2.780.00–2.010.18–4.79
Shots on target
57%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.413.437.84safe2.55–6.271.69–5.174.24–11.45safer2.06–6.761.22–5.643.28–12.40
Total shots
72%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3910.9225.31safe10.46–18.317.36–14.4917.82–32.80safer9.37–19.406.40–15.4515.77–34.85
Shots in box
62%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction9.147.4016.54safe6.20–12.084.72–10.0810.92–22.16safer5.37–12.913.98–10.829.35–23.73
Blocked shots
59%
14%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.173.057.22safe2.29–6.061.40–4.703.69–10.76safer1.75–6.600.90–5.192.65–11.79
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.274.4810.75safe4.05–8.482.48–6.486.54–14.96safer3.48–9.061.95–7.025.43–16.07
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction58.2241.48safe51.43–65.0134.70–48.26safer49.76–66.6833.02–49.94
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction480308789safe413–547242–375655–922safer395–565224–392619–958
Pass accuracy %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction68.1463.58safe64.11–72.1759.26–67.91safer62.82–73.4657.95–69.22
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9012.4323.32safe8.06–13.739.48–15.3717.54–29.11safer7.30–14.498.73–16.1216.04–30.61
Offsides
39%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.873.71safe0.68–3.000.77–2.961.45–5.96safer0.38–3.300.49–3.250.87–6.55
Yellow cards
30%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.622.123.74safe0.58–2.670.99–3.241.56–5.92safer0.31–2.940.69–3.541.00–6.48
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
29%
17%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.353.095.44safe0.91–3.781.54–4.652.45–8.43safer0.52–4.171.11–5.081.64–9.25
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.56 0.59–2.53 0.34–2.78 | 0.93 0.07–1.78 0.00–2.01 | 2.49 0.66–4.31 0.18–4.79 | 52% 25% 22% |
| Shots on target | 4.41 2.55–6.27 2.06–6.76 | 3.43 1.69–5.17 1.22–5.64 | 7.84 4.24–11.45 3.28–12.40 | 57% 14% 30% |
| Total shots | 14.39 10.46–18.31 9.37–19.40 | 10.92 7.36–14.49 6.40–15.45 | 25.31 17.82–32.80 15.77–34.85 | 72% 21% |
| Shots in box | 9.14 6.20–12.08 5.37–12.91 | 7.40 4.72–10.08 3.98–10.82 | 16.54 10.92–22.16 9.35–23.73 | 62% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 4.17 2.29–6.06 1.75–6.60 | 3.05 1.40–4.70 0.90–5.19 | 7.22 3.69–10.76 2.65–11.79 | 59% 14% 27% |
| Corners | 6.27 4.05–8.48 3.48–9.06 | 4.48 2.48–6.48 1.95–7.02 | 10.75 6.54–14.96 5.43–16.07 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 58.22 51.43–65.01 49.76–66.68 | 41.48 34.70–48.26 33.02–49.94 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 480 413–547 395–565 | 308 242–375 224–392 | 789 655–922 619–958 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.14 64.11–72.17 62.82–73.46 | 63.58 59.26–67.91 57.95–69.22 | — | 70% 26% |
| Fouls | 10.90 8.06–13.73 7.30–14.49 | 12.43 9.48–15.37 8.73–16.12 | 23.32 17.54–29.11 16.04–30.61 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.68–3.00 0.38–3.30 | 1.87 0.77–2.96 0.49–3.25 | 3.71 1.45–5.96 0.87–6.55 | 39% 22% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.62 0.58–2.67 0.31–2.94 | 2.12 0.99–3.24 0.69–3.54 | 3.74 1.56–5.92 1.00–6.48 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.35 0.91–3.78 0.52–4.17 | 3.09 1.54–4.65 1.11–5.08 | 5.44 2.45–8.43 1.64–9.25 | 29% 17% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.