Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
25%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.252.82safe0.61–2.540.39–2.101.00–4.64safer0.36–2.800.16–2.330.52–5.12
Shots on target
55%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.154.289.43safe3.29–7.012.53–6.025.82–13.03safer2.80–7.502.07–6.484.87–13.99
Total shots
78%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction15.7811.2927.08safe11.86–19.717.73–14.8619.59–34.56safer10.77–20.806.77–15.8217.54–36.61
Shots in box
60%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction9.497.9017.39safe6.55–12.445.22–10.5811.77–23.02safer5.72–13.264.48–11.3210.20–24.58
Blocked shots
62%
13%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.513.197.70safe2.63–6.401.53–4.844.17–11.24safer2.09–6.941.04–5.333.13–12.27
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.404.439.83safe3.19–7.612.43–6.435.62–14.04safer2.61–8.191.90–6.964.51–15.15
Possession %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction50.7748.46safe43.98–57.5641.67–55.24safer42.31–59.2340.00–56.91
Passes
56%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction454437891safe387–521370–503757–1024safer369–539353–521721–1060
Pass accuracy %
36%
60%
homeawayprediction71.3673.73safe67.33–75.3969.41–78.05safer66.04–76.6968.10–79.36
Fouls
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0610.1723.23safe10.23–15.907.22–13.1117.45–29.02safer9.47–16.666.48–13.8615.95–30.52
Offsides
28%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.562.143.70safe0.40–2.721.05–3.241.45–5.96safer0.10–3.020.76–3.520.86–6.55
Yellow cards
41%
19%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.302.244.55safe1.25–3.351.11–3.372.37–6.72safer0.99–3.620.82–3.661.81–7.28
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.120.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.440.00–0.83
GK saves
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.833.366.19safe1.39–4.261.80–4.923.20–9.18safer1.00–4.651.38–5.342.38–9.99
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.58 0.61–2.54 0.36–2.80 | 1.25 0.39–2.10 0.16–2.33 | 2.82 1.00–4.64 0.52–5.12 | 45% 25% 30% |
| Shots on target | 5.15 3.29–7.01 2.80–7.50 | 4.28 2.53–6.02 2.07–6.48 | 9.43 5.82–13.03 4.87–13.99 | 55% 33% |
| Total shots | 15.78 11.86–19.71 10.77–20.80 | 11.29 7.73–14.86 6.77–15.82 | 27.08 19.59–34.56 17.54–36.61 | 78% 17% |
| Shots in box | 9.49 6.55–12.44 5.72–13.26 | 7.90 5.22–10.58 4.48–11.32 | 17.39 11.77–23.02 10.20–24.58 | 60% 31% |
| Blocked shots | 4.51 2.63–6.40 2.09–6.94 | 3.19 1.53–4.84 1.04–5.33 | 7.70 4.17–11.24 3.13–12.27 | 62% 13% 25% |
| Corners | 5.40 3.19–7.61 2.61–8.19 | 4.43 2.43–6.43 1.90–6.96 | 9.83 5.62–14.04 4.51–15.15 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 50.77 43.98–57.56 42.31–59.23 | 48.46 41.67–55.24 40.00–56.91 | — | 53% 42% |
| Passes | 454 387–521 369–539 | 437 370–503 353–521 | 891 757–1024 721–1060 | 56% 44% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.36 67.33–75.39 66.04–76.69 | 73.73 69.41–78.05 68.10–79.36 | — | 36% 60% |
| Fouls | 13.06 10.23–15.90 9.47–16.66 | 10.17 7.22–13.11 6.48–13.86 | 23.23 17.45–29.02 15.95–30.52 | 69% 24% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.10–3.02 | 2.14 1.05–3.24 0.76–3.52 | 3.70 1.45–5.96 0.86–6.55 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Yellow cards | 2.30 1.25–3.35 0.99–3.62 | 2.24 1.11–3.37 0.82–3.66 | 4.55 2.37–6.72 1.81–7.28 | 41% 19% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.83 1.39–4.26 1.00–4.65 | 3.36 1.80–4.92 1.38–5.34 | 6.19 3.20–9.18 2.38–9.99 | 34% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.