Championship·Regular Season - 18·
Championship·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
23%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.052.85safe0.83–2.770.19–1.901.02–4.67safer0.58–3.020.00–2.130.54–5.15
Shots on target
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.513.619.12safe3.65–7.371.87–5.355.51–12.72safer3.16–7.861.40–5.824.56–13.68
Total shots
82%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction15.6010.4726.07safe11.68–19.536.91–14.0318.58–33.56safer10.58–20.625.95–14.9916.53–35.61
Shots in box
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction10.897.0517.94safe7.95–13.834.37–9.7312.31–23.56safer7.12–14.663.63–10.4710.75–25.13
Blocked shots
59%
14%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.052.957.01safe2.17–5.931.30–4.613.47–10.54safer1.63–6.480.81–5.102.43–11.58
Corners
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.794.1610.95safe4.58–9.012.16–6.166.74–15.17safer4.00–9.581.63–6.705.63–16.28
Possession %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction53.9647.12safe47.17–60.7540.33–53.90safer45.50–62.4238.66–55.57
Passes
68%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction423366789safe356–490300–433656–923safer338–508282–450620–959
Pass accuracy %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction66.5767.24safe62.54–70.6062.91–71.56safer61.25–71.8961.60–72.87
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4511.9323.37safe8.61–14.298.98–14.8717.59–29.16safer7.85–15.048.23–15.6216.09–30.66
Offsides
59%
16%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.332.275.60safe2.17–4.491.17–3.363.35–7.85safer1.87–4.790.89–3.652.76–8.44
Yellow cards
28%
22%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.973.39safe0.36–2.460.85–3.101.21–5.57safer0.10–2.730.55–3.390.65–6.12
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
25%
15%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.423.586.00safe0.98–3.852.02–5.143.00–8.99safer0.59–4.241.60–5.562.19–9.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.80 0.83–2.77 0.58–3.02 | 1.05 0.19–1.90 0.00–2.13 | 2.85 1.02–4.67 0.54–5.15 | 55% 23% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.51 3.65–7.37 3.16–7.86 | 3.61 1.87–5.35 1.40–5.82 | 9.12 5.51–12.72 4.56–13.68 | 68% 21% |
| Total shots | 15.60 11.68–19.53 10.58–20.62 | 10.47 6.91–14.03 5.95–14.99 | 26.07 18.58–33.56 16.53–35.61 | 82% 13% |
| Shots in box | 10.89 7.95–13.83 7.12–14.66 | 7.05 4.37–9.73 3.63–10.47 | 17.94 12.31–23.56 10.75–25.13 | 79% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.05 2.17–5.93 1.63–6.48 | 2.95 1.30–4.61 0.81–5.10 | 7.01 3.47–10.54 2.43–11.58 | 59% 14% 27% |
| Corners | 6.79 4.58–9.01 4.00–9.58 | 4.16 2.16–6.16 1.63–6.70 | 10.95 6.74–15.17 5.63–16.28 | 74% 17% |
| Possession % | 53.96 47.17–60.75 45.50–62.42 | 47.12 40.33–53.90 38.66–55.57 | — | 64% 32% |
| Passes | 423 356–490 338–508 | 366 300–433 282–450 | 789 656–923 620–959 | 68% 32% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.57 62.54–70.60 61.25–71.89 | 67.24 62.91–71.56 61.60–72.87 | — | 44% 51% |
| Fouls | 11.45 8.61–14.29 7.85–15.04 | 11.93 8.98–14.87 8.23–15.62 | 23.37 17.59–29.16 16.09–30.66 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 3.33 2.17–4.49 1.87–4.79 | 2.27 1.17–3.36 0.89–3.65 | 5.60 3.35–7.85 2.76–8.44 | 59% 16% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.41 0.36–2.46 0.10–2.73 | 1.97 0.85–3.10 0.55–3.39 | 3.39 1.21–5.57 0.65–6.12 | 28% 22% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.42 0.98–3.85 0.59–4.24 | 3.58 2.02–5.14 1.60–5.56 | 6.00 3.00–8.99 2.19–9.80 | 25% 15% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.