Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
28%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.350.852.21safe0.38–2.320.00–1.710.38–4.03safer0.13–2.570.00–1.940.00–4.51
Shots on target
57%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.203.197.39safe2.34–6.071.45–4.933.79–11.00safer1.85–6.560.98–5.402.83–11.95
Total shots
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2410.4023.63safe9.31–17.166.83–13.9616.15–31.12safer8.22–18.255.87–14.9214.09–33.17
Shots in box
57%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction8.096.8914.98safe5.15–11.034.21–9.579.36–20.60safer4.32–11.863.47–10.317.79–22.17
Blocked shots
61%
13%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.353.067.40safe2.46–6.231.40–4.713.87–10.94safer1.92–6.770.91–5.202.83–11.97
Corners
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.894.3310.23safe3.68–8.102.33–6.336.01–14.44safer3.10–8.681.80–6.874.91–15.55
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.7638.49safe55.97–69.5531.70–45.27safer54.30–71.2230.03–46.94
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction539319858safe471–606253–386724–992safer453–624235–403689–1027
Pass accuracy %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction73.3067.52safe69.27–77.3363.19–71.84safer67.98–78.6261.88–73.15
Fouls
22%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6514.0424.69safe7.81–13.4911.10–16.9918.91–30.47safer7.06–14.2410.35–17.7417.40–31.98
Offsides
44%
23%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.453.16safe0.55–2.880.36–2.540.91–5.42safer0.25–3.180.07–2.830.32–6.01
Yellow cards
26%
20%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.552.313.86safe0.51–2.601.18–3.441.69–6.04safer0.24–2.870.89–3.731.13–6.60
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
33%
18%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.292.745.02safe0.85–3.721.18–4.292.03–8.01safer0.46–4.110.76–4.721.22–8.83
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.38–2.32 0.13–2.57 | 0.85 0.00–1.71 0.00–1.94 | 2.21 0.38–4.03 0.00–4.51 | 48% 28% 24% |
| Shots on target | 4.20 2.34–6.07 1.85–6.56 | 3.19 1.45–4.93 0.98–5.40 | 7.39 3.79–11.00 2.83–11.95 | 57% 14% 29% |
| Total shots | 13.24 9.31–17.16 8.22–18.25 | 10.40 6.83–13.96 5.87–14.92 | 23.63 16.15–31.12 14.09–33.17 | 68% 25% |
| Shots in box | 8.09 5.15–11.03 4.32–11.86 | 6.89 4.21–9.57 3.47–10.31 | 14.98 9.36–20.60 7.79–22.17 | 57% 33% |
| Blocked shots | 4.35 2.46–6.23 1.92–6.77 | 3.06 1.40–4.71 0.91–5.20 | 7.40 3.87–10.94 2.83–11.97 | 61% 13% 25% |
| Corners | 5.89 3.68–8.10 3.10–8.68 | 4.33 2.33–6.33 1.80–6.87 | 10.23 6.01–14.44 4.91–15.55 | 63% 26% |
| Possession % | 62.76 55.97–69.55 54.30–71.22 | 38.49 31.70–45.27 30.03–46.94 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 539 471–606 453–624 | 319 253–386 235–403 | 858 724–992 689–1027 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.30 69.27–77.33 67.98–78.62 | 67.52 63.19–71.84 61.88–73.15 | — | 75% 21% |
| Fouls | 10.65 7.81–13.49 7.06–14.24 | 14.04 11.10–16.99 10.35–17.74 | 24.69 18.91–30.47 17.40–31.98 | 22% 72% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.88 0.25–3.18 | 1.45 0.36–2.54 0.07–2.83 | 3.16 0.91–5.42 0.32–6.01 | 44% 23% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.51–2.60 0.24–2.87 | 2.31 1.18–3.44 0.89–3.73 | 3.86 1.69–6.04 1.13–6.60 | 26% 20% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.29 0.85–3.72 0.46–4.11 | 2.74 1.18–4.29 0.76–4.72 | 5.02 2.03–8.01 1.22–8.83 | 33% 18% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.