Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
26%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.282.66safe0.41–2.350.42–2.130.84–4.48safer0.16–2.600.20–2.360.36–4.96
Shots on target
43%
14%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.334.338.66safe2.47–6.192.59–6.075.05–12.26safer1.98–6.682.12–6.544.10–13.22
Total shots
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0013.4927.48safe10.07–17.929.92–17.0520.00–34.97safer8.98–19.018.97–18.0117.95–37.02
Shots in box
62%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction10.078.2918.36safe7.13–13.015.61–10.9712.73–23.98safer6.30–13.844.87–11.7111.17–25.55
Blocked shots
44%
15%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.893.777.65safe2.00–5.772.11–5.424.12–11.19safer1.46–6.311.62–5.913.08–12.23
Corners
53%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.574.8210.39safe3.36–7.792.82–6.826.18–14.61safer2.79–8.362.29–7.355.07–15.71
Possession %
32%
64%
homeawayprediction46.6053.61safe39.81–53.3946.82–60.39safer38.14–55.0645.15–62.06
Passes
29%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction378444822safe310–445378–511688–955safer292–463360–528652–991
Pass accuracy %
19%
78%
homeawayprediction67.1873.57safe63.15–71.2169.24–77.89safer61.86–72.5067.93–79.20
Fouls
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5011.3322.83safe8.66–14.348.39–14.2817.05–28.62safer7.91–15.097.64–15.0315.55–30.12
Offsides
46%
21%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.011.683.69safe0.85–3.170.59–2.771.43–5.94safer0.54–3.470.30–3.060.84–6.53
Yellow cards
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.973.88safe0.86–2.960.84–3.101.70–6.06safer0.59–3.220.55–3.391.14–6.62
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
40%
17%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.912.995.89safe1.47–4.341.43–4.542.90–8.89safer1.08–4.731.01–4.972.09–9.70
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.38 0.41–2.35 0.16–2.60 | 1.28 0.42–2.13 0.20–2.36 | 2.66 0.84–4.48 0.36–4.96 | 39% 26% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.33 2.47–6.19 1.98–6.68 | 4.33 2.59–6.07 2.12–6.54 | 8.66 5.05–12.26 4.10–13.22 | 43% 14% 43% |
| Total shots | 14.00 10.07–17.92 8.98–19.01 | 13.49 9.92–17.05 8.97–18.01 | 27.48 20.00–34.97 17.95–37.02 | 50% 42% |
| Shots in box | 10.07 7.13–13.01 6.30–13.84 | 8.29 5.61–10.97 4.87–11.71 | 18.36 12.73–23.98 11.17–25.55 | 62% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 3.89 2.00–5.77 1.46–6.31 | 3.77 2.11–5.42 1.62–5.91 | 7.65 4.12–11.19 3.08–12.23 | 44% 15% 41% |
| Corners | 5.57 3.36–7.79 2.79–8.36 | 4.82 2.82–6.82 2.29–7.35 | 10.39 6.18–14.61 5.07–15.71 | 53% 35% |
| Possession % | 46.60 39.81–53.39 38.14–55.06 | 53.61 46.82–60.39 45.15–62.06 | — | 32% 64% |
| Passes | 378 310–445 292–463 | 444 378–511 360–528 | 822 688–955 652–991 | 29% 71% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.18 63.15–71.21 61.86–72.50 | 73.57 69.24–77.89 67.93–79.20 | — | 19% 78% |
| Fouls | 11.50 8.66–14.34 7.91–15.09 | 11.33 8.39–14.28 7.64–15.03 | 22.83 17.05–28.62 15.55–30.12 | 47% 44% |
| Offsides | 2.01 0.85–3.17 0.54–3.47 | 1.68 0.59–2.77 0.30–3.06 | 3.69 1.43–5.94 0.84–6.53 | 46% 21% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.91 0.86–2.96 0.59–3.22 | 1.97 0.84–3.10 0.55–3.39 | 3.88 1.70–6.06 1.14–6.62 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.91 1.47–4.34 1.08–4.73 | 2.99 1.43–4.54 1.01–4.97 | 5.89 2.90–8.89 2.09–9.70 | 40% 17% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+