Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
25%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction0.951.632.58safe0.00–1.920.77–2.480.75–4.40safer0.00–2.170.54–2.710.27–4.88
Shots on target
27%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction3.574.838.40safe1.71–5.433.09–6.574.79–12.00safer1.22–5.922.62–7.043.84–12.96
Total shots
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7614.4826.24safe7.84–15.6910.91–18.0418.75–33.73safer6.75–16.789.96–19.0016.70–35.78
Shots in box
24%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction7.409.8417.25safe4.46–10.357.16–12.5211.62–22.87safer3.63–11.176.42–13.2610.06–24.44
Blocked shots
23%
13%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.874.387.25safe0.99–4.752.72–6.033.71–10.78safer0.44–5.302.23–6.522.68–11.82
Corners
25%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction4.295.9010.19safe2.07–6.503.90–7.905.98–14.40safer1.50–7.073.37–8.444.87–15.51
Possession %
13%
84%
homeawayprediction41.5959.31safe34.80–48.3852.52–66.09safer33.13–50.0550.85–67.76
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction344482826safe277–412416–549693–960safer259–430398–566657–996
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction62.1372.68safe58.10–66.1668.36–77.01safer56.81–67.4567.05–78.31
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7611.6324.39safe9.92–15.608.69–14.5818.61–30.17safer9.17–16.357.94–15.3317.11–31.68
Offsides
59%
20%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.291.343.63safe1.13–3.450.25–2.441.38–5.89safer0.83–3.750.00–2.720.79–6.48
Yellow cards
47%
20%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.221.864.08safe1.17–3.270.73–2.981.90–6.26safer0.91–3.540.44–3.281.34–6.81
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
52%
16%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.272.605.87safe1.83–4.701.05–4.162.88–8.86safer1.44–5.090.62–4.582.06–9.67
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.95 0.00–1.92 0.00–2.17 | 1.63 0.77–2.48 0.54–2.71 | 2.58 0.75–4.40 0.27–4.88 | 22% 25% 53% |
| Shots on target | 3.57 1.71–5.43 1.22–5.92 | 4.83 3.09–6.57 2.62–7.04 | 8.40 4.79–12.00 3.84–12.96 | 27% 60% |
| Total shots | 11.76 7.84–15.69 6.75–16.78 | 14.48 10.91–18.04 9.96–19.00 | 26.24 18.75–33.73 16.70–35.78 | 26% 67% |
| Shots in box | 7.40 4.46–10.35 3.63–11.17 | 9.84 7.16–12.52 6.42–13.26 | 17.25 11.62–22.87 10.06–24.44 | 24% 68% |
| Blocked shots | 2.87 0.99–4.75 0.44–5.30 | 4.38 2.72–6.03 2.23–6.52 | 7.25 3.71–10.78 2.68–11.82 | 23% 13% 64% |
| Corners | 4.29 2.07–6.50 1.50–7.07 | 5.90 3.90–7.90 3.37–8.44 | 10.19 5.98–14.40 4.87–15.51 | 25% 64% |
| Possession % | 41.59 34.80–48.38 33.13–50.05 | 59.31 52.52–66.09 50.85–67.76 | — | 13% 84% |
| Passes | 344 277–412 259–430 | 482 416–549 398–566 | 826 693–960 657–996 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.13 58.10–66.16 56.81–67.45 | 72.68 68.36–77.01 67.05–78.31 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 12.76 9.92–15.60 9.17–16.35 | 11.63 8.69–14.58 7.94–15.33 | 24.39 18.61–30.17 17.11–31.68 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 2.29 1.13–3.45 0.83–3.75 | 1.34 0.25–2.44 0.00–2.72 | 3.63 1.38–5.89 0.79–6.48 | 59% 20% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 2.22 1.17–3.27 0.91–3.54 | 1.86 0.73–2.98 0.44–3.28 | 4.08 1.90–6.26 1.34–6.81 | 47% 20% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.27 1.83–4.70 1.44–5.09 | 2.60 1.05–4.16 0.62–4.58 | 5.87 2.88–8.86 2.06–9.67 | 52% 16% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.