Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
25%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.462.76safe0.33–2.270.60–2.310.94–4.59safer0.08–2.520.38–2.540.46–5.06
Shots on target
41%
14%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.964.138.09safe2.10–5.822.39–5.874.48–11.70safer1.61–6.311.92–6.343.53–12.65
Total shots
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3412.0325.37safe9.42–17.278.47–15.5917.89–32.86safer8.33–18.367.51–16.5515.83–34.91
Shots in box
61%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction9.507.8417.34safe6.56–12.455.16–10.5211.72–22.97safer5.73–13.284.42–11.2610.15–24.53
Blocked shots
36%
15%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.303.757.05safe1.41–5.182.10–5.413.51–10.59safer0.87–5.721.61–5.902.48–11.62
Corners
47%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.385.1110.49safe3.16–7.593.11–7.116.28–14.70safer2.59–8.162.58–7.655.17–15.81
Possession %
24%
73%
homeawayprediction44.5855.71safe37.79–51.3748.93–62.50safer36.12–53.0447.25–64.17
Passes
23%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction383471854safe316–451404–537720–988safer298–469387–554685–1023
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction59.7869.65safe55.75–63.8165.33–73.98safer54.46–65.1064.02–75.29
Fouls
46%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9110.8821.79safe8.07–13.747.93–13.8216.00–27.57safer7.31–14.507.18–14.5714.50–29.07
Offsides
60%
18%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.691.664.35safe1.53–3.850.57–2.752.10–6.61safer1.23–4.150.28–3.041.51–7.20
Yellow cards
29%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.943.38safe0.39–2.490.81–3.071.20–5.56safer0.13–2.760.52–3.360.65–6.12
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
42%
17%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.822.795.61safe1.38–4.261.24–4.352.62–8.61safer1.00–4.640.81–4.771.81–9.42
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 0.33–2.27 0.08–2.52 | 1.46 0.60–2.31 0.38–2.54 | 2.76 0.94–4.59 0.46–5.06 | 34% 25% 41% |
| Shots on target | 3.96 2.10–5.82 1.61–6.31 | 4.13 2.39–5.87 1.92–6.34 | 8.09 4.48–11.70 3.53–12.65 | 41% 14% 45% |
| Total shots | 13.34 9.42–17.27 8.33–18.36 | 12.03 8.47–15.59 7.51–16.55 | 25.37 17.89–32.86 15.83–34.91 | 56% 36% |
| Shots in box | 9.50 6.56–12.45 5.73–13.28 | 7.84 5.16–10.52 4.42–11.26 | 17.34 11.72–22.97 10.15–24.53 | 61% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 3.30 1.41–5.18 0.87–5.72 | 3.75 2.10–5.41 1.61–5.90 | 7.05 3.51–10.59 2.48–11.62 | 36% 15% 49% |
| Corners | 5.38 3.16–7.59 2.59–8.16 | 5.11 3.11–7.11 2.58–7.65 | 10.49 6.28–14.70 5.17–15.81 | 47% 41% |
| Possession % | 44.58 37.79–51.37 36.12–53.04 | 55.71 48.93–62.50 47.25–64.17 | — | 24% 73% |
| Passes | 383 316–451 298–469 | 471 404–537 387–554 | 854 720–988 685–1023 | 23% 77% |
| Pass accuracy % | 59.78 55.75–63.81 54.46–65.10 | 69.65 65.33–73.98 64.02–75.29 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 10.91 8.07–13.74 7.31–14.50 | 10.88 7.93–13.82 7.18–14.57 | 21.79 16.00–27.57 14.50–29.07 | 46% 45% |
| Offsides | 2.69 1.53–3.85 1.23–4.15 | 1.66 0.57–2.75 0.28–3.04 | 4.35 2.10–6.61 1.51–7.20 | 60% 18% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 1.44 0.39–2.49 0.13–2.76 | 1.94 0.81–3.07 0.52–3.36 | 3.38 1.20–5.56 0.65–6.12 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.82 1.38–4.26 1.00–4.64 | 2.79 1.24–4.35 0.81–4.77 | 5.61 2.62–8.61 1.81–9.42 | 42% 17% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.