Championship·Regular Season - 18·
Championship·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
25%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.550.982.54safe0.59–2.520.13–1.840.72–4.36safer0.34–2.770.00–2.070.24–4.84
Shots on target
58%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.423.367.79safe2.56–6.291.62–5.114.18–11.39safer2.07–6.781.16–5.573.23–12.35
Total shots
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5610.9624.52safe9.64–17.497.40–14.5217.04–32.01safer8.55–18.586.44–15.4814.99–34.06
Shots in box
64%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction8.907.0215.92safe5.96–11.844.33–9.7010.29–21.54safer5.13–12.673.60–10.438.73–23.11
Blocked shots
60%
14%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.112.917.02safe2.23–5.991.26–4.563.49–10.56safer1.68–6.540.77–5.062.45–11.59
Corners
68%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction6.114.1310.24safe3.89–8.322.13–6.136.02–14.45safer3.32–8.891.60–6.664.92–15.56
Possession %
61%
34%
homeawayprediction52.6946.89safe45.90–59.4840.11–53.68safer44.23–61.1538.44–55.35
Passes
73%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction480404884safe412–547338–471750–1018safer394–565320–488715–1053
Pass accuracy %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction70.7171.04safe66.68–74.7466.72–75.37safer65.38–76.0365.41–76.68
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8212.2123.04safe7.99–13.669.27–15.1617.25–28.82safer7.23–14.428.52–15.9015.75–30.32
Offsides
50%
21%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.513.57safe0.89–3.210.42–2.611.31–5.82safer0.59–3.520.13–2.890.72–6.41
Yellow cards
31%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.682.103.78safe0.63–2.730.97–3.231.60–5.96safer0.36–2.990.68–3.521.04–6.51
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
32%
18%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.262.775.03safe0.82–3.691.21–4.332.04–8.02safer0.43–4.080.79–4.751.22–8.83
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.55 0.59–2.52 0.34–2.77 | 0.98 0.13–1.84 0.00–2.07 | 2.54 0.72–4.36 0.24–4.84 | 51% 25% 24% |
| Shots on target | 4.42 2.56–6.29 2.07–6.78 | 3.36 1.62–5.11 1.16–5.57 | 7.79 4.18–11.39 3.23–12.35 | 58% 14% 29% |
| Total shots | 13.56 9.64–17.49 8.55–18.58 | 10.96 7.40–14.52 6.44–15.48 | 24.52 17.04–32.01 14.99–34.06 | 66% 27% |
| Shots in box | 8.90 5.96–11.84 5.13–12.67 | 7.02 4.33–9.70 3.60–10.43 | 15.92 10.29–21.54 8.73–23.11 | 64% 27% |
| Blocked shots | 4.11 2.23–5.99 1.68–6.54 | 2.91 1.26–4.56 0.77–5.06 | 7.02 3.49–10.56 2.45–11.59 | 60% 14% 26% |
| Corners | 6.11 3.89–8.32 3.32–8.89 | 4.13 2.13–6.13 1.60–6.66 | 10.24 6.02–14.45 4.92–15.56 | 68% 22% |
| Possession % | 52.69 45.90–59.48 44.23–61.15 | 46.89 40.11–53.68 38.44–55.35 | — | 61% 34% |
| Passes | 480 412–547 394–565 | 404 338–471 320–488 | 884 750–1018 715–1053 | 73% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.71 66.68–74.74 65.38–76.03 | 71.04 66.72–75.37 65.41–76.68 | — | 46% 49% |
| Fouls | 10.82 7.99–13.66 7.23–14.42 | 12.21 9.27–15.16 8.52–15.90 | 23.04 17.25–28.82 15.75–30.32 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 2.05 0.89–3.21 0.59–3.52 | 1.51 0.42–2.61 0.13–2.89 | 3.57 1.31–5.82 0.72–6.41 | 50% 21% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.63–2.73 0.36–2.99 | 2.10 0.97–3.23 0.68–3.52 | 3.78 1.60–5.96 1.04–6.51 | 31% 21% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.26 0.82–3.69 0.43–4.08 | 2.77 1.21–4.33 0.79–4.75 | 5.03 2.04–8.02 1.22–8.83 | 32% 18% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.