Championship·Regular Season - 18·
Championship·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
25%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.442.76safe0.34–2.280.59–2.300.93–4.58safer0.09–2.530.36–2.530.45–5.06
Shots on target
41%
13%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.624.829.44safe2.76–6.483.08–6.565.83–13.04safer2.27–6.972.61–7.034.88–14.00
Total shots
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8913.7727.65safe9.96–17.8110.21–17.3320.17–35.14safer8.87–18.909.25–18.2918.12–37.19
Shots in box
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction9.289.6018.88safe6.34–12.236.92–12.2813.26–24.50safer5.51–13.066.18–13.0211.69–26.07
Blocked shots
31%
13%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.834.738.57safe1.95–5.723.08–6.395.03–12.10safer1.41–6.262.59–6.883.99–13.14
Corners
46%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.194.9710.16safe2.97–7.402.97–6.975.95–14.37safer2.40–7.972.44–7.514.84–15.48
Possession %
37%
59%
homeawayprediction48.2653.00safe41.47–55.0546.21–59.78safer39.80–56.7244.54–61.45
Passes
38%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction450486937safe383–518420–553803–1071safer365–536402–570768–1106
Pass accuracy %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction73.3477.61safe69.31–77.3773.29–81.94safer68.02–78.6671.98–83.25
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6511.8722.52safe7.81–13.498.92–14.8116.74–28.30safer7.06–14.248.18–15.5615.23–29.81
Offsides
49%
21%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.041.583.61safe0.88–3.200.48–2.671.36–5.87safer0.58–3.500.19–2.960.77–6.46
Yellow cards
34%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.812.123.93safe0.76–2.860.99–3.251.75–6.11safer0.49–3.120.70–3.541.20–6.67
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
48%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.392.986.37safe1.96–4.831.42–4.543.38–9.37safer1.57–5.221.00–4.962.57–10.18
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.31 0.34–2.28 0.09–2.53 | 1.44 0.59–2.30 0.36–2.53 | 2.76 0.93–4.58 0.45–5.06 | 34% 25% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.62 2.76–6.48 2.27–6.97 | 4.82 3.08–6.56 2.61–7.03 | 9.44 5.83–13.04 4.88–14.00 | 41% 13% 46% |
| Total shots | 13.89 9.96–17.81 8.87–18.90 | 13.77 10.21–17.33 9.25–18.29 | 27.65 20.17–35.14 18.12–37.19 | 47% 45% |
| Shots in box | 9.28 6.34–12.23 5.51–13.06 | 9.60 6.92–12.28 6.18–13.02 | 18.88 13.26–24.50 11.69–26.07 | 43% 48% |
| Blocked shots | 3.83 1.95–5.72 1.41–6.26 | 4.73 3.08–6.39 2.59–6.88 | 8.57 5.03–12.10 3.99–13.14 | 31% 13% 55% |
| Corners | 5.19 2.97–7.40 2.40–7.97 | 4.97 2.97–6.97 2.44–7.51 | 10.16 5.95–14.37 4.84–15.48 | 46% 41% |
| Possession % | 48.26 41.47–55.05 39.80–56.72 | 53.00 46.21–59.78 44.54–61.45 | — | 37% 59% |
| Passes | 450 383–518 365–536 | 486 420–553 402–570 | 937 803–1071 768–1106 | 38% 62% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.34 69.31–77.37 68.02–78.66 | 77.61 73.29–81.94 71.98–83.25 | — | 27% 69% |
| Fouls | 10.65 7.81–13.49 7.06–14.24 | 11.87 8.92–14.81 8.18–15.56 | 22.52 16.74–28.30 15.23–29.81 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 2.04 0.88–3.20 0.58–3.50 | 1.58 0.48–2.67 0.19–2.96 | 3.61 1.36–5.87 0.77–6.46 | 49% 21% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.76–2.86 0.49–3.12 | 2.12 0.99–3.25 0.70–3.54 | 3.93 1.75–6.11 1.20–6.67 | 34% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.39 1.96–4.83 1.57–5.22 | 2.98 1.42–4.54 1.00–4.96 | 6.37 3.38–9.37 2.57–10.18 | 48% 16% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.