Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
24%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.252.93safe0.71–2.650.39–2.101.11–4.75safer0.46–2.900.17–2.330.63–5.23
Shots on target
56%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.164.189.35safe3.30–7.032.44–5.935.74–12.95safer2.81–7.521.98–6.394.79–13.91
Total shots
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1411.9326.07safe10.21–18.068.37–15.4918.58–33.55safer9.12–19.157.41–16.4516.53–35.61
Shots in box
59%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction9.167.7316.89safe6.22–12.105.05–10.4111.27–22.52safer5.39–12.934.31–11.159.70–24.08
Blocked shots
51%
15%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.993.447.43safe2.11–5.871.79–5.093.90–10.97safer1.57–6.421.30–5.592.86–12.00
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.424.229.65safe3.21–7.642.22–6.225.43–13.86safer2.63–8.211.69–6.764.33–14.97
Possession %
65%
31%
homeawayprediction53.8546.51safe47.06–60.6439.73–53.30safer45.39–62.3138.06–54.97
Passes
81%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction547440987safe480–614373–506853–1121safer462–633356–524818–1156
Pass accuracy %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction75.1974.98safe71.16–79.2270.65–79.30safer69.86–80.5169.34–80.61
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1812.5624.74safe9.34–15.029.61–15.5018.95–30.52safer8.59–15.778.86–16.2517.45–32.02
Offsides
41%
17%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.792.805.59safe1.63–3.951.71–3.903.34–7.85safer1.33–4.251.42–4.192.75–8.44
Yellow cards
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.732.053.78safe0.68–2.780.92–3.181.60–5.96safer0.42–3.050.63–3.471.04–6.52
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
37%
17%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.783.075.85safe1.35–4.221.51–4.622.86–8.84safer0.96–4.611.09–5.052.05–9.66
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.68 0.71–2.65 0.46–2.90 | 1.25 0.39–2.10 0.17–2.33 | 2.93 1.11–4.75 0.63–5.23 | 48% 24% 28% |
| Shots on target | 5.16 3.30–7.03 2.81–7.52 | 4.18 2.44–5.93 1.98–6.39 | 9.35 5.74–12.95 4.79–13.91 | 56% 31% |
| Total shots | 14.14 10.21–18.06 9.12–19.15 | 11.93 8.37–15.49 7.41–16.45 | 26.07 18.58–33.55 16.53–35.61 | 63% 30% |
| Shots in box | 9.16 6.22–12.10 5.39–12.93 | 7.73 5.05–10.41 4.31–11.15 | 16.89 11.27–22.52 9.70–24.08 | 59% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 3.99 2.11–5.87 1.57–6.42 | 3.44 1.79–5.09 1.30–5.59 | 7.43 3.90–10.97 2.86–12.00 | 51% 15% 35% |
| Corners | 5.42 3.21–7.64 2.63–8.21 | 4.22 2.22–6.22 1.69–6.76 | 9.65 5.43–13.86 4.33–14.97 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 53.85 47.06–60.64 45.39–62.31 | 46.51 39.73–53.30 38.06–54.97 | — | 65% 31% |
| Passes | 547 480–614 462–633 | 440 373–506 356–524 | 987 853–1121 818–1156 | 81% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.19 71.16–79.22 69.86–80.51 | 74.98 70.65–79.30 69.34–80.61 | — | 49% 46% |
| Fouls | 12.18 9.34–15.02 8.59–15.77 | 12.56 9.61–15.50 8.86–16.25 | 24.74 18.95–30.52 17.45–32.02 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 2.79 1.63–3.95 1.33–4.25 | 2.80 1.71–3.90 1.42–4.19 | 5.59 3.34–7.85 2.75–8.44 | 41% 17% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.68–2.78 0.42–3.05 | 2.05 0.92–3.18 0.63–3.47 | 3.78 1.60–5.96 1.04–6.52 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.78 1.35–4.22 0.96–4.61 | 3.07 1.51–4.62 1.09–5.05 | 5.85 2.86–8.84 2.05–9.66 | 37% 17% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+