Championship·Regular Season - 18·
Championship·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
24%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.002.69safe0.73–2.660.14–1.850.87–4.52safer0.48–2.920.00–2.080.39–5.00
Shots on target
60%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.733.478.20safe2.87–6.601.73–5.214.60–11.81safer2.38–7.091.26–5.683.64–12.76
Total shots
64%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5011.1824.68safe9.57–17.427.62–14.7417.19–32.16safer8.48–18.516.66–15.7015.14–34.21
Shots in box
62%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction8.967.2616.22safe6.02–11.904.58–9.9410.60–21.84safer5.19–12.733.84–10.689.03–23.41
Blocked shots
54%
14%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.113.347.45safe2.23–5.991.69–5.003.91–10.98safer1.68–6.531.20–5.492.88–12.02
Corners
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.564.269.82safe3.35–7.772.26–6.265.60–14.03safer2.77–8.351.72–6.794.50–15.14
Possession %
78%
18%
homeawayprediction57.6243.42safe50.83–64.4136.63–50.20safer49.16–66.0834.96–51.87
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction527369895safe459–594302–435761–1029safer441–612285–453726–1064
Pass accuracy %
63%
32%
homeawayprediction73.0769.95safe69.04–77.1065.62–74.27safer67.75–78.3964.32–75.58
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9912.9724.96safe9.15–14.8310.02–15.9119.18–30.74safer8.40–15.599.27–16.6617.67–32.24
Offsides
36%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.773.41safe0.48–2.800.67–2.861.16–5.66safer0.18–3.100.38–3.150.57–6.25
Yellow cards
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.993.81safe0.77–2.870.86–3.121.63–5.99safer0.50–3.130.57–3.411.08–6.55
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
36%
17%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.612.945.55safe1.18–4.051.38–4.492.56–8.54safer0.79–4.440.95–4.921.74–9.35
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.70 0.73–2.66 0.48–2.92 | 1.00 0.14–1.85 0.00–2.08 | 2.69 0.87–4.52 0.39–5.00 | 54% 24% 22% |
| Shots on target | 4.73 2.87–6.60 2.38–7.09 | 3.47 1.73–5.21 1.26–5.68 | 8.20 4.60–11.81 3.64–12.76 | 60% 27% |
| Total shots | 13.50 9.57–17.42 8.48–18.51 | 11.18 7.62–14.74 6.66–15.70 | 24.68 17.19–32.16 15.14–34.21 | 64% 28% |
| Shots in box | 8.96 6.02–11.90 5.19–12.73 | 7.26 4.58–9.94 3.84–10.68 | 16.22 10.60–21.84 9.03–23.41 | 62% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 4.11 2.23–5.99 1.68–6.53 | 3.34 1.69–5.00 1.20–5.49 | 7.45 3.91–10.98 2.88–12.02 | 54% 14% 32% |
| Corners | 5.56 3.35–7.77 2.77–8.35 | 4.26 2.26–6.26 1.72–6.79 | 9.82 5.60–14.03 4.50–15.14 | 60% 28% |
| Possession % | 57.62 50.83–64.41 49.16–66.08 | 43.42 36.63–50.20 34.96–51.87 | — | 78% 18% |
| Passes | 527 459–594 441–612 | 369 302–435 285–453 | 895 761–1029 726–1064 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.07 69.04–77.10 67.75–78.39 | 69.95 65.62–74.27 64.32–75.58 | — | 63% 32% |
| Fouls | 11.99 9.15–14.83 8.40–15.59 | 12.97 10.02–15.91 9.27–16.66 | 24.96 19.18–30.74 17.67–32.24 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.10 | 1.77 0.67–2.86 0.38–3.15 | 3.41 1.16–5.66 0.57–6.25 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.82 0.77–2.87 0.50–3.13 | 1.99 0.86–3.12 0.57–3.41 | 3.81 1.63–5.99 1.08–6.55 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.61 1.18–4.05 0.79–4.44 | 2.94 1.38–4.49 0.95–4.92 | 5.55 2.56–8.54 1.74–9.35 | 36% 17% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.