Championship·Regular Season - 18·
Championship·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
26%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.252.68safe0.47–2.400.39–2.100.86–4.51safer0.22–2.660.16–2.330.38–4.99
Shots on target
47%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.484.228.70safe2.62–6.342.47–5.965.09–12.30safer2.13–6.832.01–6.424.14–13.26
Total shots
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0312.3226.35safe10.10–17.958.76–15.8918.86–33.84safer9.01–19.047.80–16.8516.81–35.89
Shots in box
50%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction8.898.4217.31safe5.95–11.835.74–11.1011.69–22.93safer5.12–12.665.00–11.8410.12–24.50
Blocked shots
46%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.023.807.82safe2.14–5.902.15–5.464.29–11.36safer1.59–6.441.66–5.953.25–12.39
Corners
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.564.7310.29safe3.35–7.772.73–6.736.07–14.50safer2.77–8.352.19–7.264.97–15.61
Possession %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction52.8647.92safe46.07–59.6541.14–54.71safer44.40–61.3239.47–56.38
Passes
65%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction459413871safe391–526346–479738–1005safer373–544329–497702–1041
Pass accuracy %
28%
67%
homeawayprediction69.2473.18safe65.22–73.2768.85–77.50safer63.92–74.5767.55–78.81
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7811.4722.25safe7.94–13.628.52–14.4116.47–28.03safer7.19–14.387.77–15.1614.96–29.53
Offsides
39%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.723.46safe0.58–2.900.63–2.811.20–5.71safer0.27–3.200.34–3.100.61–6.30
Yellow cards
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.863.58safe0.67–2.770.73–2.991.40–5.76safer0.40–3.030.44–3.280.84–6.31
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.070.12safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.390.00–0.75
GK saves
37%
17%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.843.115.95safe1.40–4.281.56–4.672.96–8.95safer1.02–4.661.13–5.092.15–9.76
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.44 0.47–2.40 0.22–2.66 | 1.25 0.39–2.10 0.16–2.33 | 2.68 0.86–4.51 0.38–4.99 | 41% 26% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.48 2.62–6.34 2.13–6.83 | 4.22 2.47–5.96 2.01–6.42 | 8.70 5.09–12.30 4.14–13.26 | 47% 14% 40% |
| Total shots | 14.03 10.10–17.95 9.01–19.04 | 12.32 8.76–15.89 7.80–16.85 | 26.35 18.86–33.84 16.81–35.89 | 59% 33% |
| Shots in box | 8.89 5.95–11.83 5.12–12.66 | 8.42 5.74–11.10 5.00–11.84 | 17.31 11.69–22.93 10.12–24.50 | 50% 41% |
| Blocked shots | 4.02 2.14–5.90 1.59–6.44 | 3.80 2.15–5.46 1.66–5.95 | 7.82 4.29–11.36 3.25–12.39 | 46% 14% 40% |
| Corners | 5.56 3.35–7.77 2.77–8.35 | 4.73 2.73–6.73 2.19–7.26 | 10.29 6.07–14.50 4.97–15.61 | 54% 34% |
| Possession % | 52.86 46.07–59.65 44.40–61.32 | 47.92 41.14–54.71 39.47–56.38 | — | 59% 36% |
| Passes | 459 391–526 373–544 | 413 346–479 329–497 | 871 738–1005 702–1041 | 65% 35% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.24 65.22–73.27 63.92–74.57 | 73.18 68.85–77.50 67.55–78.81 | — | 28% 67% |
| Fouls | 10.78 7.94–13.62 7.19–14.38 | 11.47 8.52–14.41 7.77–15.16 | 22.25 16.47–28.03 14.96–29.53 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.27–3.20 | 1.72 0.63–2.81 0.34–3.10 | 3.46 1.20–5.71 0.61–6.30 | 39% 22% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.72 0.67–2.77 0.40–3.03 | 1.86 0.73–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 3.58 1.40–5.76 0.84–6.31 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.84 1.40–4.28 1.02–4.66 | 3.11 1.56–4.67 1.13–5.09 | 5.95 2.96–8.95 2.15–9.76 | 37% 17% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+